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Liga Portugal

Santa Clara - Nacional

05/11/2026, 07:15 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Santa Clara
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Nacional
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

14%

2:0

9%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
SCNAC

Santa Clara

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.35
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.17
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
Serginho未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

Nacional

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
Ze Vitor未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Liziero未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Alan Nuñez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Chiheb Labidi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

33%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

67%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 43% probability for Santa Clara
  • Santa Clara's offense shows a positive trend, with an average of 1.5 goals in recent matches, compared to 1.1 season average
  • Nacional is tactically strong offensively with an average of 5.2 shots on target in the last 5 matches
概述

Santa Clara (13th place, 33 points) host Nacional (14th place, 31 points) at Estádio de São Miguel

This Liga Portugal match takes place on May 11, 2026, 8:15 PM

An important game in the fight for a better league position

近期状态

Santa Clara's form in the last five league games is LL DWD

This means 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses

The last result was a 2-2 draw against Arouca

Nacional's form in the last five league games is WLWWL

This means 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses

The last result was a 1-2 loss against AVS

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Santa Clara scores an average of 0.94 goals per game this season and concedes 1.25 goals

Nacional scores an average of 1.09 goals per game and concedes 1.34 goals

Santa Clara scored 0.94 goals and conceded 1.06 goals per game in home matches

Nacional scored 1.08 goals and conceded 1.54 goals per game in away matches

At Estádio de São Miguel, an average of 2.2 goals were scored in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches (40%) at Estádio de São Miguel

There were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches (40%) at Estádio de São Miguel

历史交锋

In the 3 head-to-head matches played so far, Santa Clara won 1, Nacional won 1, and there was 1 draw

The goal difference is slightly in favor of Nacional with 5:4 goals

The last encounter on January 11, 2026, ended in a 3-3 draw at Nacional

The historical record shows an even balance of power

关键球员

For Santa Clara, Gabriel Silva (6 goals, 0 assists), Gonçalo Paciência (3 goals, 0 assists) and Welinton Torrão (1 goal, 2 assists) are the main attacking threats

For Nacional, Jesús Ramírez (16 goals, 0 assists), Paulinho Bóia (4 goals, 2 assists) and Léo Santos (3 goals, 2 assists) stand out

门将

Santa Clara's goalkeeper is João Afonso

Santa Clara recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Nacional's goalkeeper is Kaique, who has an average rating of 6.95 in 26 season appearances and recently achieved 7.34

Nacional recorded 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Santa Clara shows a balanced home performance with 0.94 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per home game

Estádio de São Miguel is characterized by an average of 2.2 goals per game

In 40% of the last 5 matches at Estádio de São Miguel, both teams scored, and 40% of matches had over 2.5 goals

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