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Liga Portugal

Rio Ave - Sporting CP

05/11/2026, 07:15 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Rio Ave
1.1
Total xG
2.7
Sporting CP
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
RASC

Rio Ave

排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第2位, 相差10位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
Andreas Ntoi替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Jakub Brabec替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Ole Pohlmann替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Sporting CP

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.31
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.19
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第12位, 相差10位)
+0.08
Geny Catamo替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
Zeno Debast替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.8球 vs 总体2.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

28%

客胜

47%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

53%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

72%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Sporting CP is the favorite with a 47% probability, the highest win probability from the pipeline
  • Sporting CP has achieved 4 wins and 1 draw against Rio Ave in the last 5 head-to-head matches
  • Sporting CP is very strong offensively with an average of 2.56 goals per game and concedes only 0.72 goals per game
风险因素
  • Limited goal threat for Rio Ave: Only 83% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with key players not nominated
  • Sporting CP recently conceded an average of 1.5 goals, compared to 0.88 on average for the season
  • Rio Ave showed defensive stability in their last three home games, keeping two clean sheets
概述

Rio Ave (12th place, 35 points) host Sporting CP (2nd place, 76 points) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. Liga Portugal match on May 11, 2026, 9:15 PM. Sporting CP is fighting for crucial points at the top, while Rio Ave is in the mid-table

近期状态

Rio Ave's form in the last five matches is LWDLD

This includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Rio Ave recently drew 0-0 against Gil Vicente

Sporting CP shows a form of DLDDW

This includes 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

They won their last match 5-1 against Vitória Guimarães

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Rio Ave scores an average of 1.03 goals per game and concedes 1.63 goals

At home, Rio Ave scores an average of 1.00 goals and concedes 1.56 goals

Sporting CP is very strong offensively with an average of 2.56 goals per game and concedes only 0.72 goals

Away from home, Sporting CP scores 2.62 goals and concedes 0.92 goals

The venue recorded an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting CP dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw

The goal difference is 15:4 in favor of Sporting CP

The last encounter on December 28, 2025, saw Sporting CP win 4-0 away

Sporting CP has clearly dominated recent matchups

关键球员

Rio Ave:

Jalen Blesa (Attacker) scored 6 goals this season and has an average rating of 7.1

Tamás Nikitscher (Midfielder) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games

Marios Vrousai (Defender) registered 1 assist in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.05

Not nominated: Andreas Ntoi (1G/2A), Jakub Brabec (1G/1A), Ole Pohlmann (1G/1A)

Sporting CP:

Luis Suárez (Attacker) has scored 26 goals and 6 assists this season with an average rating of 7.5

Pedro Gonçalves (Attacker) recorded 13 goals and 7 assists this season

Francisco Trincão (Midfielder) contributed 6 goals and 11 assists this season

Not nominated: Geny Catamo (6G/3A), Zeno Debast (0G/2A)

门将

Rio Ave goalkeeper Cezary Miszta has achieved 6 clean sheets this season

Sporting CP goalkeeper Rui Silva recorded 14 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Rio Ave scores an average of 1.00 goals at home and concedes 1.56 goals

Sporting CP is strong offensively away from home with an average of 2.62 goals and defensively stable with 0.92 goals conceded

The Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube saw an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 games at this stadium

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the last 5 games at this stadium

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