Liga Portugal
Tondela - Moreirense
05/11/2026, 07:15 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
10%2:0
9%xG 分解
Tondela
Moreirense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
33%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts Tondela has a 41% chance for a home win or a 33% chance for a draw, resulting in a 74% probability for a home win or a draw
- Tondela shows a positive trend and is currently scoring more often (1.0 goals) than their season average (0.8 goals)
- Moreirense has a vulnerable away defense, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per away game
风险因素
- Moreirense is missing Rodrigo Alonso Martín (3 goals, 3 assists) and Landerson (0 goals, 2 assists), reducing their usual starting XI goal threat to 85%
- Tondela's home offense is rather weak with an average of 0.73 goals per game
- Moreirense won the only direct encounter against Tondela with a score of 1-0
概述
Tondela (17th place, 25 points) host Moreirense (8th place, 42 points) at Estádio João Cardoso
Liga Portugal match on May 11, 2026, 8:15 PM
Tondela is fighting for crucial points in the lower league table to avoid relegation
Moreirense is in the mid-table
近期状态
Tondela's current form across all competitions: DLLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches
Their last result was a win
Moreirense's form: LDWLW
They achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games
Moreirense also won their last match
统计数据
Tondela averages 0.75 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.63 goals
In home games, Tondela's average is 0.73 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game
Moreirense scores an average of 1.16 goals per match and concedes 1.47 goals
Away from home, Moreirense scores 1.13 goals and concedes 1.73 goals per game
The venue has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games
历史交锋
There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Tondela and Moreirense so far
Moreirense won the only encounter on January 11, 2026, with a score of 1-0
Tondela has not managed to win a game against Moreirense yet
关键球员
For Tondela, Rony Lopes (2 goals, 2 assists), Maranhão (6 goals, 1 assist), and Cícero (1 goal, 1 assist) are key players in the starting lineup
Rony Lopes shows a rising form with 1 goal in the last 5 games
Maranhão recorded 0 goals and 0 assists in 5 games
Cícero scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games
For Moreirense, Alan de Souza Guimarães (5 goals, 5 assists), Travassos (5 goals, 3 assists), and Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga (4 goals, 0 assists) stand out
Alan de Souza Guimarães scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
Travassos scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga also contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games
门将
Bernardo is the goalkeeper for Tondela and has kept 6 clean sheets this season
His form is positive with a rising rating of 7.21 in the last 5 games
For Moreirense, Caio Gobbo Secco is in goal, with a total of 8 clean sheets this season
His form is declining with a rating of 6.01 in the last 5 games
影响因素
Tondela plays at home in Estádio João Cardoso
The home team scored an average of 0.73 goals and conceded 1.4 goals in home games
The stadium has shown an average of 2.2 goals per match in the last five games
In 40% of the last five matches, both teams scored, and in 40% over 2.5 goals were scored