Liga Portugal
Sporting Braga - Estrela Amadora
05/16/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Sporting Braga
Estrela Amadora
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
29%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Favoritism: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Sporting Braga with approximately 52% probability
- Offensive Power: Braga averages 1.88 goals per home game, while Estrela Amadora concedes 2.14 goals per away game
- Form and Standings: Braga is fighting for Europe, while Amadora, 15th in the league with a form of LLLLD, is involved in the relegation battle
风险因素
- Poor Form: Sporting Braga's goal production is currently stagnant at an average of 1.4 goals, with a season average of 2.0 goals
- Injury/Suspension: V. Carvalho Vieira (Yellow Card Suspension) is out for Sporting Braga, and R. Pereira de Pinho (Yellow Card Suspension) for Estrela Amadora
- Tactics: Estrela Amadora averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述
Sporting Braga (4th place, 58 points) host Estrela Amadora (15th place, 29 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Braga
Liga Portugal match on May 16, 2026, 6:00 PM
Braga is fighting for international spots, while Estrela Amadora is battling against relegation
近期状态
Sporting Braga's form across all competitions: LWDLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
Their last league appearance ended in a draw
Estrela Amadora's form across all competitions: LLLLD (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)
Their last match also ended in a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Sporting Braga averages 1.88 goals scored per game and concedes 1.03 goals per game this season
At home, they score 1.88 goals and concede 0.94 goals per home game
Estrela Amadora averages 1.09 goals scored per game and concedes 1.64 goals per game this season
Away from home, Estrela Amadora concedes an average of 2.14 goals per away game
In the last 5 games at Estádio Municipal de Braga, an average of 2.4 total goals were scored per match
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Braga recorded 3 wins, Estrela Amadora 0 wins, and there were 2 draws
Sporting Braga scored a total of 12 goals, Estrela Amadora 6 goals
The last encounter on January 3, 2026, ended in a 3-3 draw
Sporting Braga has been more dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
Sporting Braga: Ricardo Horta leads the team with 14 season goals and 4 assists, but his form is declining
Pau Víctor showed rising form with 9 goals and 4 assists
Fran Navarro contributed 6 goals and 1 assist
Estrela Amadora: Abraham Marcus is a key player with 5 goals and 5 assists, but his form is declining
Ianis Stoica scored 3 goals and 2 assists
Paulo Moreira recorded 3 goals and 2 assists
门将
Lukas Hornicek for Sporting Braga made 32 appearances this season and kept 6 clean sheets in home games
Renan Ribeiro for Estrela Amadora also appeared 32 times and kept 3 clean sheets in away games
影响因素
Sporting Braga benefits from a home advantage, scoring 1.88 home goals and conceding only 0.94 home goals
At Estádio Municipal de Braga, an average of 2.4 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
The grass surface is expected
No weather data is available