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Liga Portugal

Porto - Santa Clara

05/16/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Porto
1.6
Total xG
2.2
Santa Clara
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

2:0

14%

1:1

12%

0:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
PORSC

Porto

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.85
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.21
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.08
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
-0.02
Gabri Veiga替补席 (3球, 8助攻)
Pepê替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Oskar Pietuszewski替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Pablo Rosario替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Zaidu Sanusi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Santa Clara

状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.09
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Gonçalo Paciência未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

28%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

72%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Table position and home strength: Porto is the league leader with a strong home performance (Avg. 2.0 goals scored, Avg. 0.38 goals conceded), while Santa Clara is mid-table and weaker away
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 59%
  • Head-to-head record: Porto has dominated the last three direct encounters against Santa Clara (2 wins, 1 draw)
风险因素
  • Porto's recent goal production is lower at Avg. 1.2 goals compared to their season average of Avg. 1.9 goals
  • Santa Clara averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Porto lost their last match against AVS with a score of 1-3
概述

Porto (1st place, 85 points) hosts Santa Clara (12th place, 36 points) at Estádio Do Dragão. This Liga Portugal match takes place on May 16, 2026, 3:30 PM. Porto aims to solidify its top position, while Santa Clara seeks to maintain its mid-table standing

近期状态

Porto's current form (LWWWL) shows 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last game resulted in a loss. Santa Clara's form (LDWDW) includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last game ended in a win. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Porto averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.55 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they scored 2.0 goals and conceded only 0.38 goals per game. Santa Clara scored an average of 0.97 goals and conceded 1.21 goals. Away, Santa Clara averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded. Porto kept 20 clean sheets, with 11 at home. Santa Clara had 10 clean sheets, with 3 away. Estádio Do Dragão averages 2.2 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 20% of matches

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches between Porto and Santa Clara, Porto secured 2 wins and 1 draw. Santa Clara failed to win any of these direct encounters. Porto scored a total of 4 goals, while Santa Clara scored 1 goal. The last meeting on January 4, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Porto. Porto has been dominant in recent direct matchups

关键球员

For Porto, Deniz Gül, Victor Froholdt, and Alberto Costa are key players. Deniz Gül scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing a rising form trend. Victor Froholdt has 6 goals and 7 assists this season. Alberto Costa contributed 8 assists this season. For Santa Clara, Gabriel Silva, Serginho, and Luis Fernando stand out. Gabriel Silva scored 2 goals in the last 5 games. Serginho recorded 4 goals and 3 assists this season. Luis Fernando provided 2 assists in the last 5 games

门将

Diogo Costa, Porto's goalkeeper, recorded 20 clean sheets in 32 appearances this season. Santa Clara's goalkeeper, João Afonso, plays for a team that has achieved 10 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Porto shows strong offensive performance at home with an average of 2.0 goals per game and a very stable defense with only 0.38 goals conceded per game. Santa Clara, on the other hand, is weaker offensively away from home with an average of 1.0 goals per game and more vulnerable defensively with 1.53 goals conceded per game. Estádio Do Dragão has an average of 2.2 total goals per game

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