Liga Portugal
Arouca - Tondela
05/16/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Arouca
Tondela
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
28%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Arouca with a 47% probability
- Arouca sits in 11th place, significantly above relegation-threatened Tondela in 17th place in the league table
- Tondela shows offensive weakness away from home, averaging only 0.76 goals per game
风险因素
- Tondela concedes an average of 1.82 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
- Arouca has also shown defensive frailties at home, conceding an average of 1.61 goals per home game
- The limited head-to-head history of only one match restricts the predictive power of historical data
概述
Arouca (11th place, 39 points) host Tondela (17th place, 28 points) at Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Liga Portugal match on May 16, 2026, 6:00 PM
Arouca seeks to consolidate its mid-table position, while Tondela fights against relegation
近期状态
Arouca's form in the last five games is LWLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with two wins, one draw, and two losses
Arouca won their last game 3-1 away against Gil Vicente
Tondela also has a form of LLDWW in their last five matches, with two wins, one draw, and two losses
Tondela won their last two matches against Moreirense and Casa Pia
统计数据
Arouca averages 1.33 goals scored per game and concedes 1.91 goals
At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded
Tondela averages 0.79 goals scored per game and concedes 1.58 goals
Away, they average 0.76 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded
The Estádio Municipal de Arouca sees an average of 3.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and 4 of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
Arouca consistently scores around 1.4 goals per game, while Tondela is currently scoring more frequently (1.0) than their season average (0.9)
历史交锋
Both teams have only met once before
Arouca won this encounter 3-1 away against Tondela on January 3, 2026
The record shows Arouca as the dominant team in this single head-to-head match
关键球员
For Arouca, Alfonso Trezza with 8 goals and 3 assists, and Iván Barbero with 8 goals and 2 assists are important attackers
Naïs Djouahra contributed 6 goals and 3 assists
For Tondela, Maranhão with 6 goals and 2 assists, and Rony Lopes with 3 goals and 2 assists are the top scorers
Cícero has scored 1 goal and 1 assist
门将
Ignacio de Arruabarrena is Arouca's goalkeeper, with 15 appearances and an average rating of 6.83
Bernardo is Tondela's goalkeeper, with 33 season appearances and an average rating of 6.96
Both teams have kept 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Estádio Municipal de Arouca is known for high-scoring games, averaging 3.2 goals per match
Arouca has scored 24 goals and conceded 29 goals in 18 home games
Tondela has scored 13 goals and conceded 31 goals in 17 away games