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Liga Portugal

Famalicão - Alverca

05/16/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Famalicão
1.2
Total xG
2.1
Alverca
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

13%

0:1

9%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
FAMALV

Famalicão

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.49
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
Ibrahima Ba未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Alverca

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.03
Isaac James未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

33%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

63%

Under 1.5

37%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

67%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Famalicão with a probability of 42%
  • Famalicão demonstrates a solid home defense, conceding an average of 0.57 goals per home game
  • Famalicão is unbeaten in their last 5 games (1 win, 4 draws), while Alverca shows mixed form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
风险因素
  • The pipeline analysis indicates a high probability of a draw at 33%
  • In the only head-to-head encounter, Alverca won away with a score of 1-0
  • Famalicão has frequently drawn in their last 5 games (4 draws), suggesting difficulties in securing wins
概述

Famalicão (5th place, 53 points) host Alverca (10th place, 39 points) at the Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

The Liga Portugal match takes place on May 16, 2026, 9:30 PM

Famalicão is fighting for European qualification, while Alverca is in the mid-table

近期状态

Famalicão's current form across all competitions: DDDWD

This corresponds to 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses in the last 5 games

Famalicão last drew 0-0 with Estrela Amadora

Alverca's form across all competitions: WLWLD

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 games

Alverca last drew 1-1 with Estoril

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Famalicão averages 1.24 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per game this season

Alverca averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per game

Famalicão kept 16 clean sheets, Alverca 6 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 12 of Famalicão's games, and in 19 of Alverca's games

At the Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, an average of 2.0 goals per game are scored

In 2 of 5 stadium games, both teams scored, and in 1 of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams

Alverca won this single match 1-0

The last encounter was on January 4, 2026, where Alverca won away

Alverca has had the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters

关键球员

For Famalicão, Gil Dias is an important offensive player with 4 goals and 7 assists in 32 season appearances and stable form

Sorriso has 5 goals and 4 assists in 32 season appearances and shows stable form

Mathias de Amorim, midfielder, has 4 goals and 2 assists and his form is rising

For Alverca, Figueiredo is a key player with 6 goals and 2 assists in 26 season appearances, and his form is rising

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira has 2 goals and 4 assists in 19 season appearances and also shows rising form

Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos, midfielder, has 2 goals and 5 assists in 29 season appearances

门将

Lazar Carević is Famalicão's goalkeeper, he has 16 clean sheets this season

Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira is Alverca's goalkeeper, he has 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Famalicão has a home advantage with an average of 1.24 goals scored and 0.57 goals conceded in home games

Alverca concedes an average of 1.75 goals per away game

The Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho recorded an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 40% of home games at the stadium, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 20%

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