Copa Del Rey
Atlético de Madrid - Real Sociedad
04/18/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.9
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Atlético de Madrid
Real Sociedad
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
28%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Real Sociedad's recent positive attacking form (2.2 goals/game) contrasts Atlético's struggling goal production (1.4 goals/game)
- Mathematical analysis gives Real Sociedad a slight edge with a 40% win probability and 1.51 expected goals
- Tactical clash: Atlético's counter-oriented style (44% possession) against Real Sociedad's ball-possession dominance (55% possession)
风险因素
- Atlético Madrid has suffered 4 losses in their last 5 games
- Real Sociedad concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away game
- Atlético Madrid's attacking output has declined recently (1.4 goals/game compared to 2.0 season average)
概述
Atlético Madrid will face Real Sociedad in the Copa Del Rey on April 18, 2026, 9:00 PM at the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla. The match will take place at a neutral venue.
近期状态
Atlético Madrid's form across all competitions is 'LLWLL', with 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 games. They are currently on a 2-game losing streak. Real Sociedad's form is 'LWLWD', with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last game was a draw. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Atlético Madrid averages 1.65 goals scored and 1.03 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. Real Sociedad averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded per game. Away, their average is 1.55 goals scored and 2.18 goals conceded. At the Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla, the last 5 games have seen an average of 2.8 total goals per match, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 games (80%) and over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 games (40%).
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid has dominated with 3 wins compared to 0 for Real Sociedad, with 2 draws. Atlético Madrid scored a total of 11 goals, while Real Sociedad scored 4 goals. The last encounter on March 7, 2026, ended in a 3:2 victory for Atlético Madrid.
关键球员
For Atlético Madrid, Julián Alvarez, with 8 goals and 4 assists and an average rating of 7.14 this season, and Antoine Griezmann (6 goals, 1 assist, avg. 6.97) are key attacking players. Giuliano Simeone contributed 4 goals and 6 assists with a season rating of 6.98. Real Sociedad relies on Mikel Oyarzabal, who recorded 12 goals and 3 assists with a season rating of 7.15. Gonçalo Guedes (8 goals, 4 assists, avg. 6.90) and Carlos Soler (4 goals, 3 assists, avg. 7.07), whose form trend is currently rising, are also key players.
门将
Atlético Madrid's goalkeeper Juan Musso has a season average rating of 7.11 and showed a rating of 7.21 in the last 5 games. His team recorded a total of 12 clean sheets. Real Sociedad's starting goalkeeper Unai Marrero has had no appearances this season, and his team achieved 3 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla is a neutral venue, which could diminish a traditional home advantage. At this stadium, the average is 2.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches. Atlético Madrid averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded in home games, while Real Sociedad averaged 1.55 goals scored and 2.18 goals conceded away.