Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - FC Union Berlin
03/15/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.1
1.3
1:1
12%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
SC Freiburg
FC Union Berlin
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
26%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for SC Freiburg with a 47% probability
- SC Freiburg shows defensive stability at home, conceding an average of 0.94 goals per game
- FC Union Berlin concedes an average of 2.10 goals per away match
风险因素
- SC Freiburg with only 3 days rest since their last match
- SC Freiburg is missing key players like Vincenzo Grifo (7G/1A) and Yuito Suzuki (4G/3A), accounting for only 75% of their usual goal threat
- FC Union Berlin dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 2 wins and 3 draws
概述
SC Freiburg (8th place, 34 points) host FC Union Berlin (11th place, 28 points) at Europa-Park Stadion
Bundesliga match on March 15, 2026, 5:30 PM
Freiburg aims to close the gap to international spots, while Union needs crucial points in the fight for survival
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
SC Freiburg's form in the last five matches is LWLDL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their last game was a 0-1 loss against Genk
SC Freiburg's goal production is currently at an average of 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.5 goals, indicating a negative trend
FC Union Berlin's form in the last five matches is DLWLL with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Union recently lost 1-4 against Werder Bremen
FC Union Berlin's goal production is currently at an average of 1.0 goals, with a season average of 1.3 goals, also a negative trend
统计数据
SC Freiburg scores an average of 1.48 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.68 goals per game this season
At home, Freiburg is stronger offensively with an average of 1.50 goals and more stable defensively with an average of 0.94 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 15 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches
FC Union Berlin scores an average of 1.20 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.68 goals per game this season
Away from home, Union scores an average of 1.20 goals and concedes an average of 2.10 goals
For Union, both teams scored in 15 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 14 matches
An average of 2.8 goals per game were scored at the Europa-Park Stadion
In 3 out of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SC Freiburg has 0 wins, FC Union Berlin has 2 wins, and there were 3 draws
The goal difference is 2:4 in favor of Union Berlin
The last encounter on November 1, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
FC Union Berlin has been the more dominant side in recent direct clashes
关键球员
For SC Freiburg, Igor Matanovic stands out in attack with 6 season goals and 1 assist
Derry Scherhant contributed 4 goals and 1 assist
Johan Manzambi scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists
For FC Union Berlin, Andrej Ilic shines with 1 season goal and 8 assists
Ilyas Ansah contributed 5 goals and 2 assists
Rani Khedira scored 5 goals
门将
Noah Atubolu is the goalkeeper for SC Freiburg, he has kept 5 clean sheets in 25 games
The goalkeeper for FC Union Berlin is Matheo Raab
Union Berlin has kept 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
An average of 2.8 goals per game were scored at the Europa-Park Stadion
In 3 out of 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored
SC Freiburg, playing on grass at home this season, averages 1.50 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded
FC Union Berlin, playing on grass away from home, scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded an average of 2.10 goals