FA Cup
Newcastle United - Manchester City
03/07/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.4
1.9
1:1
11%1:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
Newcastle United
Manchester City
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
25%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Critical Squad Impact: Manchester City is missing key players, with only 47% of their usual starting XI's goal-scoring threat available
- Strong Away Form and H2H Dominance: Manchester City has 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games, plus 4 H2H wins in 5 encounters, supporting an away win probability of 45%
- High-Scoring Venue and Offensive Trends: St. James' Park sees an average of 4.0 goals per game, and Newcastle United's recent goal production (2.8 goals recently) has increased compared to their season average (2.0 goals)
风险因素
- Both teams had a short recovery period of only 3 days since their last match
- Newcastle United is missing several players like B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura (9 goals, 4 assists), which could affect team strength
概述
Newcastle United hosts Manchester City at St. James' Park. This FA Cup match will take place on March 7, 2026, 9:00 PM. Manchester City is considered the favorite despite absences.
近期状态
Newcastle United shows a mixed form of WLWLW in their last five games, with 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last match was a win. Manchester City, on the other hand, is in strong form with WWWWD, consisting of 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last match was a draw.
统计数据
Newcastle United scores an average of 1.45 goals per game and concedes 1.48 goals per game. In home matches, the average is 1.47 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded. Manchester City shows a stronger record with an average of 2.03 goals scored and only 0.93 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Manchester City scores an average of 2.09 goals and concedes 1.45 goals. At St. James' Park, the last 5 matches saw an average of 4.0 total goals per game, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals occurring in 4 out of 5 matches.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City dominates with 4 wins compared to 1 win for Newcastle United. The goal difference is 4:12 in favor of Manchester City. The last encounter on February 21, 2026, ended in a 1:2 away victory for Manchester City.
关键球员
For Newcastle United, Nick Woltemade (7 goals, 2 assists, last 5 games: 1 goal), Harvey Barnes (5 goals, 0 assists), and Malick Thiaw (4 goals, 0 assists, last 5 games: 1 goal) are important players. For Manchester City, Matheus Nunes (1 goal, 4 assists), Jérémy Doku (1 goal, 4 assists, last 5 games: 2 assists), and Nico O'Reilly (4 goals, 3 assists) stand out.
门将
Newcastle United's goalkeeper, Aaron Ramsdale, has not kept a clean sheet in 8 season appearances. The team has achieved 3 clean sheets in home games. For Manchester City, James Trafford is in goal, who has also not recorded a clean sheet in 3 season appearances. Manchester City has kept 5 clean sheets in away games.
影响因素
St. James' Park is a venue with high offensive potential, with an average of 4.0 goals per game in the last 5 encounters. Both teams scored and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 matches. Newcastle United scores an average of 1.47 goals at home and concedes 1.26 goals. Manchester City scores 2.09 goals away and concedes 1.45 goals.