Champions League
FC Bayern München - Atalanta
03/18/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
2.5
3.7
1.2
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
7%2:2
5%4:1
5%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
Atalanta
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
66%
平局
19%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
50%
Under 3.5
50%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
34%
非平局
81%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 66% probability and 2.52 expected home goals
- Form and head-to-head: Bayern München's dominant form (4 wins, 1 draw) and the clear 6-1 victory in the last head-to-head against Atalanta
- Offensive strength: FC Bayern München is offensively strong with an average of 3.58 goals per game and shows 8.8 shots on target
概述
FC Bayern München (2nd place, 21 points) host Atalanta (15th place, 13 points) at the Allianz Arena. Champions League match on March 18, 2026, 9:00 PM. Bayern aim to assert their title ambitions against an opponent in poor form.
近期状态
FC Bayern München's form (WWWWD) shows 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 games. They recently drew 1-1 against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Atalanta (LDDLD) has achieved 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games. Their last match was a 1-1 draw against Inter. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
FC Bayern München shows a strong offense with an average of 3.58 goals per game and concedes an average of 0.96 goals per game. At home, they average 3.47 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded. Atalanta averages 1.38 goals scored per game and concedes 0.93 goals per game. Away, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded. At the Allianz Arena, an average of 4.2 goals are scored per game. In 80% of matches, both teams scored, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams. The last encounter on March 10, 2026, ended in a 6-1 away victory for FC Bayern München against Atalanta. In total, FC Bayern München scored 6 goals and Atalanta scored 1 goal in direct confrontations.
关键球员
For FC Bayern München, Luis Díaz with 9 goals and 6 assists at the Allianz Arena, Serge Gnabry with 3 goals and 5 assists at the Allianz Arena, and Lennart Karl with 4 goals and 1 assist at the Allianz Arena are important players. For Atalanta, Charles De Ketelaere (2 season goals, 2 season assists), Mario Pašalić (3 season goals), and Nikola Krstović (1 season goal) are the players with the most direct goal contributions. Not fielded for Bayern are Michael Olise (3 goals, 5 assists) and Konrad Laimer (0 goals, 3 assists). For Atalanta, Gianluca Scamacca (3 goals, 0 assists) and Lazar Samardžić (3 goals, 0 assists) are missing.
门将
For FC Bayern München, Jonas Urbig is in goal, and the team has kept 9 clean sheets this season. Atalanta is defended by Marco Carnesecchi, who has achieved 10 clean sheets with his team.
影响因素
The Allianz Arena is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.2 goals per match. In 80% of the last 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals. FC Bayern München shows a strong offense at home with 3.47 goals scored and a solid defense with 0.87 goals conceded per home game.