🇪🇺

Champions League

FC Barcelona - Newcastle United

03/18/2026, 05:45 PM

7 : 2
预期进球
FC Barcelona
2.1
Total xG
3.5
Newcastle United
1.4
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

2:2

7%

3:1

6%

1:2

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
FBNU

FC Barcelona

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.72
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.83倍)
+0.61
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.45
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第12位, 相差7位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.06
Ferran Torres替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Newcastle United

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.03倍)
+0.26
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.21
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.16
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第5位, 相差7位)
-0.11
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.04
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

23%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

68%

Under 2.5

32%

Over 3.5

47%

Under 3.5

53%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

77%

双方进球

68%

32%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: A home win for FC Barcelona is expected with 52% probability
  • Offensive strength: FC Barcelona scores consistently (Avg. 2.7 goals per game) unlike Newcastle United's struggling goal production (Avg. 1.4 goals)
  • Home advantage: FC Barcelona is strong offensively at home (Avg. 2.71 goals) and defensively stable (Avg. 0.47 goals conceded)
风险因素
  • FC Barcelona had only 3 days rest since their last match
  • Newcastle United has only 58% of their seasonal goal threat available
  • Newcastle United concedes an average of 1.9 away goals per game
概述

FC Barcelona (5th place, 16 points) host Newcastle United (12th place, 14 points) at the Camp Nou. The Champions League match takes place on March 18, 2026, 6:45 PM. The Catalans aim to consolidate their position in the table.

近期状态

FC Barcelona shows strong form across all competitions with a 'WWWDW' record, corresponding to 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last game was a win.

Newcastle United's form is 'LWLDW', indicating 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last game also ended in a win.

FC Barcelona recently won 5-2 against Sevilla, while Newcastle United secured a 1-0 away victory against Chelsea.

统计数据

FC Barcelona shows a strong offense with an average of 2.75 goals per game, while Newcastle United averages 1.43 goals. Defensively, Barcelona is stable with 1 goal conceded per game, while Newcastle United concedes an average of 1.43 goals.

At home, Barcelona scores 2.71 goals and concedes only 0.47 goals per home game. Newcastle United scores 1.5 goals away and concedes an average of 1.9 goals.

The statistics at the Camp Nou show an average of 4.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In the 4 head-to-head encounters between the two teams, FC Barcelona secured 3 wins, while Newcastle United has no victories. There was 1 draw. The goal difference is 8:3 in favor of Barcelona.

The last meeting on March 10, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw.

关键球员

For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal (4 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.77), Fermín López (5 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.33), and Pedri (0 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.25) are important players.

For Newcastle United, Anthony Gordon (10 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.41), Harvey Barnes (6 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.31), and Kieran Trippier (0 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.22) stand out.

门将

FC Barcelona's goalkeeper, Joan García, has achieved 11 clean sheets this season. His team conceded an average of 0.47 goals at home.

Aaron Ramsdale, Newcastle United's goalkeeper, has recorded 8 clean sheets this season. His team conceded an average of 1.9 goals away.

影响因素

The Camp Nou, FC Barcelona's home ground, is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.2 goals per match. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of the last 5 matches.

FC Barcelona shows strong attacking performance at home with an average of 2.71 goals and stable defense with only 0.47 goals conceded per game. Newcastle United, on the other hand, concedes an average of 1.9 goals away. No weather data is available.

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