Champions League
Newcastle United - FC Barcelona
03/10/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.5
2.0
1:2
9%2:1
7%2:2
7%1:3
6%2:3
5%xG 分解
Newcastle United
FC Barcelona
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
24%
客胜
46%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
双重机会
主胜或平局
54%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: FC Barcelona has a higher win probability of 46% with 1.96 predicted goals
- Form and H2H: FC Barcelona shows strong form with 4 wins in 5 games and dominated the previous 3 head-to-head matches
- Offensive strength: FC Barcelona's strong offense (Avg. 2.67 goals) meets a high-scoring venue (Avg. 4.4 total goals)
风险因素
- Newcastle United has only 3 days rest since the last match
- FC Barcelona has only 3 days rest since the last match
概述
Newcastle United (12th place, 14 points) host FC Barcelona (5th place, 16 points) at St. James' Park. The Champions League match takes place on March 10, 2026, 8:00 PM. Both teams are fighting for a strong position in this crucial European tie.
近期状态
Newcastle United shows mixed form with LWLWL in their last five matches, including two wins and three losses. Their last outing resulted in a loss. FC Barcelona is in better shape with LWWWW from their last five games, comprising four wins and one loss. Barcelona won their last match.
统计数据
FC Barcelona has shown strong offensive performance this season with an average of 2.67 goals per game, while Newcastle United averages 1.45 goals. Defensively, Barcelona concedes an average of 0.96 goals per game, compared to Newcastle's 1.48 goals. Barcelona scored 31 away goals and conceded 1.67 away goals per game. Newcastle scored 1.47 home goals and conceded 1.26 home goals on average. St. James' Park is a high-scoring venue, with an average of 4.4 goals per game in the last five matches, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals always occurring. Newcastle United consistently scores (~1.9 goals per game) according to the analysis. FC Barcelona also scores consistently (~2.5 goals per game).
历史交锋
In three head-to-head matches between Newcastle United and FC Barcelona, Newcastle has not managed a single win. FC Barcelona has won all three encounters. The goal difference of 2:7 clearly favors the visitors. The last clash on September 18, 2025, ended in a 1:2 victory for Barcelona.
关键球员
For Newcastle United, Harvey Barnes with 5 goals and 3 assists, Sandro Tonali with 1 goal and 1 assist (and 2 goals in the last 5 games with rising form), and Joelinton with 2 goals and 1 assist are key players. For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal with 3 goals and 3 assists, Robert Lewandowski with 2 season goals, and Raphinha with 1 season goal are crucial. Newcastle United's Anthony Gordon (10 goals/2 assists) is not nominated. For FC Barcelona, Jules Koundé (2 goals/1 assist) and Ferran Torres (2 goals/0 assists) are not in the lineup.
门将
Aaron Ramsdale of Newcastle United recorded 7 clean sheets this season, while Joan García of FC Barcelona has 11 clean sheets.
影响因素
St. James' Park is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.4 total goals in the last five encounters. In these games, both teams consistently scored and there were always over 2.5 goals. Newcastle United averages 1.47 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per home game.