Champions League
Tottenham Hotspur - Atlético Madrid
03/18/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.6
1.7
2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%3:1
5%3:2
4%xG 分解
Tottenham Hotspur
Atlético Madrid
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
24%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
69%
Under 2.5
31%
Over 3.5
48%
Under 3.5
52%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
70%
否
30%
关键因素
- Form contrast: Atlético Madrid is in top form with four wins from their last five games, while Tottenham is struggling with four losses and one draw
- Home team's defensive weakness: Tottenham Hotspur recently conceded an average of 3.0 goals per game, significantly higher than their season average of 1.61 goals conceded
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates 1.88 expected home goals for Tottenham and 1.69 expected away goals for Atlético, with a 69% probability for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
- Fatigue for Tottenham Hotspur: The home team had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Offensive issues for Tottenham Hotspur: Goal production is recently lower at 1.2 goals compared to the season average of 1.6 goals
- Absence of key players for Tottenham: Dominic Solanke (3 Goals, 0 Assists) and João Palhinha (1 Goal, 1 Assist) are not nominated
概述
Tottenham Hotspur (4th place, 17 points) host Atlético Madrid (14th place, 13 points) at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. This Champions League match takes place on March 18, 2026, 9:00 PM. Tottenham aims to recover from poor form, while Atlético builds on its current winning streak
近期状态
Tottenham Hotspur shows a negative trend with a form of LLLLD from the last five games (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). Their last match ended in a 1-1 away draw against Liverpool. Prior to that, they suffered a clear 2-5 away loss against Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid, however, is in top form with WLWWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) in their last five matches, including three consecutive wins. Their last game was a 1-0 home win against Getafe, followed by a convincing 5-2 home win against Tottenham Hotspur
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Tottenham Hotspur averages 1.29 home goals per game and concedes an average of 1.79 goals at home. Only 2 home games ended with a clean sheet
Atlético Madrid averages 1.62 away goals and concedes 1.62 goals per away game. They kept 5 clean sheets in away matches
Tottenham's goal production recently is lower at 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.6 goals. Atlético's goal production is consistent at about 2.0 goals per game
The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium has seen an average of 3.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of matches
历史交锋
There has been only one head-to-head match between these two teams. Atlético Madrid won this single encounter 5-2 on March 10, 2026. Atlético Madrid scored 5 goals, while Tottenham Hotspur recorded 2 goals. The last result indicates dominance by the away team (Atlético in this current match context)
关键球员
For Tottenham Hotspur, Randal Kolo Muani (3 goals, 2 assists), Pedro Porro (1 goal, 2 assists, average rating 7.31) and Xavi Simons (1 goal, 1 assist, average rating 7.1) are offensive mainstays
For Atlético Madrid, Julián Alvarez stands out with 7 goals and 3 assists. Antoine Griezmann contributed 2 goals and 4 assists. Marcos Llorente showed a strong performance with 4 goals and 1 assist as a defender
门将
Guglielmo Vicario of Tottenham Hotspur made 9 season appearances and kept 7 clean sheets
For Atlético Madrid, Juan Musso played in one match. Overall, Atlético achieved 12 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will take place at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on grass. The stadium profile shows an average of 3.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of cases and over 2.5 goals scored in 80% of cases
Tottenham scores an average of 1.29 goals at home and concedes 1.79 goals, indicating a vulnerable home defense. Atlético Madrid shows a balanced record away from home with 1.62 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded