Europa League
Porto - VfB Stuttgart
03/19/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.0
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
Porto
VfB Stuttgart
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
25%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Porto's home strength: The team scores 2.08 goals and concedes only 0.31 goals per game at home
- Superior form: Porto is unbeaten in five games (WWDWW), while Stuttgart shows a mixed record (LWDLW)
- Pipeline forecast: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Porto with 53% probability and 1.85 expected home goals
风险因素
- Stuttgart's declining goal production: Current form shows 1.6 goals per game, season average is 2.0 goals
- Limited data availability for duel statistics in the last 5 matches
概述
Porto (5th place, 17 points) host VfB Stuttgart (11th place, 15 points) at the Estádio Do Dragão. This Europa League match takes place on March 19, 2026, 8:00 PM. Porto aims to confirm its strong season performance on the European stage
近期状态
Porto's current form (all competitions): WWDWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). Stuttgart's form in the last five matches is LWDLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. Porto won their last home game against Moreirense 3-0. Stuttgart defeated RB Leipzig 1-0 at home in their last match. The direct encounter on March 12, 2026, saw Porto win 2-1 away
统计数据
Porto averages 2.00 goals scored and concedes only 0.38 goals per game this season. At home, they score 2.08 goals and concede 0.31 goals. Stuttgart averages 1.96 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded per game. Away from home, Stuttgart scores 1.93 goals and concedes 1.47 goals. The Estádio Do Dragão sees an average of 2.80 goals per game. Both teams scored in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of matches
历史交锋
In one previous head-to-head match, Porto secured a win. Stuttgart has not yet won in this comparison. Porto scored 2 goals, Stuttgart 1 goal. The last encounter on March 12, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Porto
关键球员
For Porto, Terem Moffi (1 goal, 7.30 rating), Rodrigo Mora (3 goals, 1 assist, 7.25 rating), and Borja Sainz (1 goal, 2 assists, 6.88 rating) could be crucial. On VfB Stuttgart's side, Deniz Undav (3 goals, 6 assists, 7.29 rating), Maximilian Mittelstädt (1 goal, 1 assist, 7.29 rating), and Bilal El Khannouss (5 goals, 1 assist, 7.12 rating) are key players
门将
Diogo Costa, Porto's goalkeeper, has achieved 18 clean sheets this season, with 9 of them in home games. Alexander Nübel, VfB Stuttgart's goalkeeper, has recorded a total of 10 clean sheets, 3 of which were in away games
影响因素
Porto demonstrates strong home performance, averaging 2.08 goals scored and conceding only 0.31 goals. The Estádio Do Dragão typically features high-scoring matches, with an average of 2.80 goals per game