Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV
03/21/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.7
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
25%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Favorite role: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 58% for Borussia Dortmund
- Home strength vs. Away weakness: Dortmund's strong home offense (2.14 goals) meets Hamburg's vulnerable away defense (2.5 goals conceded)
- Historical dominance: Borussia Dortmund has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Hamburger SV
风险因素
- HSV's away weakness: Hamburger SV concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
- Dortmund's form trend: BVB's goal production is currently stagnating (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (2.1 goals)
- Dortmund injuries: Serhou Guirassy, Julian Brandt, and Ramy Bensebaini are unavailable for BVB
概述
Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 58 points) hosts Hamburger SV (11th place, 30 points) at Signal Iduna Park
Bundesliga match on March 21, 2026, 6:30 PM
The hosts aim to solidify their position in the top group
近期状态
Borussia Dortmund's form across all competitions: DLLWW
This equates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses from the last 5 games
Hamburger SV shows the following form in their last 5 games: DLLWD
This consists of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Dortmund's last result was a win, their second in a row
HSV recently achieved a draw after a win
统计数据
Borussia Dortmund scores an average of 2.12 goals per game and concedes 1.0 goal
At home, they score 2.14 goals and concede only 0.79 goals per home game
Hamburger SV averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded per game
Away from home, HSV concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game and scores 1.12 goals
Dortmund kept a clean sheet in 12 season games, HSV in 6 games
For Dortmund, over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 games, for HSV in 13 games
Signal Iduna Park has seen an average of 3.6 goals per match in the last 5 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund dominated with 4 wins
There was 1 draw and no wins for Hamburger SV
The goal difference of 14:3 clearly favors Dortmund
The last encounter on November 8, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
Historically, the home team has a dominant record in this fixture
关键球员
For Borussia Dortmund, Julian Ryerson (12 assists), Maximilian Beier (8 goals, 4 assists), and Karim Adeyemi (6 goals, 3 assists) are decisive players
On Hamburger SV's side, Fábio Vieira (5 goals, 4 assists), Ransford Königsdörffer (4 goals, 2 assists), and Luka Vuskovic (5 goals) are important players
Nico Schlotterbeck has a season average rating of 7.4
Luka Vuskovic has a season average rating of 7.22
Not nominated for Dortmund: Serhou Guirassy (12G/2A), Julian Brandt (6G/3A), Ramy Bensebaini (2G/0A)
门将
Borussia Dortmund's goalkeeper Gregor Kobel played in 26 season games and kept 12 clean sheets
Daniel Heuer Fernandes, Hamburger SV's goalkeeper, played 26 season games and achieved 6 clean sheets
影响因素
Borussia Dortmund's home record is strong with an average of 2.14 goals scored and 0.79 goals conceded
Signal Iduna Park proves to be a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.6 goals per game
In 2 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored