Champions League
FC Bayern München - Real Madrid
04/15/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.3
3.7
1.4
2:1
9%3:1
7%2:2
6%1:2
6%3:2
5%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
Real Madrid
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
22%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
69%
否
31%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for FC Bayern München with 56% probability
- FC Bayern München is in top form with 5 consecutive wins
- FC Bayern München's offensive strength at home is impressive with an average of 3.73 goals per home game
风险因素
- The pipeline calculation indicates an open game with 69% probability for both teams to score and 72% probability for over 2.5 goals
- Real Madrid's tactical analysis shows an average of 8.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- The head-to-head record is even with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss in 3 matches
概述
FC Bayern München (2nd place, 21 points) hosts Real Madrid (9th place, 15 points) at the Allianz Arena
Champions League match on April 15, 2026, 9:00 PM
Bayern seeks to confirm their strong form in this important competition
近期状态
FC Bayern München is in excellent condition with a form of WWWWW
This corresponds to 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses in the last 5 matches
The last result was a 5-0 away win against St. Pauli
Real Madrid shows a form of WWLLD
This is 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
The last result was a 1-1 home draw against Girona
Bayern thus has a winning streak of 5 games
统计数据
FC Bayern München scores an average of 3.62 goals per game and concedes 0.93 goals
Real Madrid scores an average of 2.10 goals and concedes 0.94 goals per game
At home, Bayern scores an average of 3.73 goals and concedes 0.87 goals
Away, Real Madrid scores an average of 2.15 goals and concedes 1.23 goals
Bayern has kept 11 clean sheets this season, and Real Madrid also has 11
At the Allianz Arena, an average of 5.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches there
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 matches
历史交锋
In the 3 direct encounters to date, there has been 1 win for FC Bayern München, 1 win for Real Madrid, and 1 draw
The goal difference in these matches is 5:5
The last direct meeting on April 07, 2026, ended with a 2-1 victory for FC Bayern München
The head-to-head record is even
关键球员
For FC Bayern München, Harry Kane is the top scorer with 11 goals this season
He scored 4 goals in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.72
Michael Olise shone with 6 assists this season
His performance in the last 5 games is declining with 1 goal and 2 assists and an average rating of 7.26
Serge Gnabry shows a rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé is the outstanding attacker with 14 season goals
His form is declining with 2 goals in the last 5 games and a rating of 6.90
Federico Valverde shows stable form with 3 goals in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.44
Vinicius Junior has contributed 5 goals and 4 assists this season
门将
Manuel Neuer is the goalkeeper for FC Bayern München and has played 8 times this season
Bayern has achieved a total of 11 clean sheets this season
Real Madrid's goalkeeper Andriy Lunin has played 3 times this season
Real Madrid has also achieved 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
FC Bayern München scores an average of 3.73 goals at home and concedes 0.87 goals, indicating a strong home record
Real Madrid scores an average of 2.15 goals away and concedes 1.23 goals
The Allianz Arena is known for many goals, with an average of 5.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches there