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Champions League

Sporting CP - Arsenal

04/07/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Sporting CP
1.5
Total xG
2.9
Arsenal
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SCARS

Sporting CP

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-1.06
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.19
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.14
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.10

Arsenal

防守实力 (场均失0.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.59
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
-0.47
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.45
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.04
Gabriel Martinelli替补席 (6球, 1助攻)
Bukayo Saka未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Kai Havertz替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Eberechi Eze未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
19%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

28%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

72%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Sporting CP shows a positive offensive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (3.0) than their season average (2.5)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 41% for Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP possesses an impressive home offense with an average of 2.67 goals scored per game
风险因素
  • Arsenal had only 3 days of rest since their last match, indicating short recovery time
  • Arsenal's goal production has stalled recently (1.6 goals), compared to their season average of 2.3 goals
  • Estádio José Alvalade saw over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches, averaging 3.6 goals per game
概述

Sporting CP host Arsenal at Estádio José Alvalade for a Champions League match on April 7, 2026, 9:00 PM. Sporting CP are in 7th place with 16 points, while Arsenal lead the table in 1st place with 24 points. Arsenal aim to continue their perfect run, while Sporting CP look to close the gap to the top spots.

近期状态

Sporting CP's form is D L W W W across all competitions. This means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, with the last result being a win. Sporting CP has a streak of 3 consecutive wins at the end of their form. Arsenal's form is W D W W L across all competitions. This means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches, with the last result being a loss. Arsenal has a streak of 1 loss at the end of their form.

统计数据

Sporting CP shows a strong offense with an average of 2.67 goals per game this season and a home offense of 2.67 goals per game. The defense is also very solid with an average of 0.63 goals conceded per game and 0.4 goals conceded per home game. Arsenal scores an average of 1.97 goals per game and concedes 0.71 goals per game. Away from home, Arsenal averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game. Sporting CP has kept 13 clean sheets, and Arsenal has kept 15 clean sheets this season. Estádio José Alvalade averages 3.6 total goals per game, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches at this stadium.

历史交锋

In previous head-to-head matches, there has been 1 encounter. Arsenal secured 1 win, while Sporting CP had 0 wins and there were 0 draws. Sporting CP scored 1 goal, and Arsenal scored 5 goals. The last match on November 26, 2024, ended in a 1:5 victory for Arsenal, highlighting Arsenal's current dominance in this fixture.

关键球员

For Sporting CP, Luis Suárez (5 goals, 2 assists) and Francisco Trincão (4 goals, 3 assists) are key offensive players. Pedro Gonçalves has scored 4 goals in the last 3 games and shows a rising form. Absences for Arsenal: Not nominated are Gabriel Martinelli (6G/1A), Bukayo Saka (2G/2A), Kai Havertz (2G/1A), and Eberechi Eze (1G/1A). For Arsenal, Declan Rice (1 goal, 2 assists) is a key midfielder and shows stable form.

门将

Sporting CP's goalkeeper, Rui Silva, has an average rating of 6.96 in 9 season appearances. Sporting CP has achieved 13 clean sheets this season. Arsenal's goalkeeper, David Raya, has an average rating of 7.08 in 9 season appearances. Arsenal has achieved 15 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Sporting CP benefits from a strong home advantage, with an average of 2.67 goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded per home game. Estádio José Alvalade is a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.6 total goals per game. 80% of matches at this stadium ended with over 2.5 goals.

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