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Champions League

Atlético de Madrid - FC Barcelona

04/14/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Atlético de Madrid
1.6
Total xG
3.2
FC Barcelona
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

5%
xG 分解
ADMFB

Atlético de Madrid

排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.13
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.04
Dávid Hancko未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)

FC Barcelona

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.16
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.11
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.8球)
+0.05
Robert Lewandowski替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

26%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

74%

双方进球

66%

34%

关键因素
  • FC Barcelona's consistent offense with an average of 2.7 goals per game and 8.4 shots on target
  • Atlético Madrid's negative form with 4 losses in their last 5 games and stagnant goal production
  • The Riyadh Air Metropolitano features a high average of 3.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches
风险因素
  • Both teams have had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • The mathematical model predicts an extremely tight game with only a 2% difference in win probabilities between the home and away teams
  • Atlético Madrid's average goals conceded in recent games is 2.0, significantly higher than the season average of 1.27
概述

Atlético Madrid (14th place, 13 points) host FC Barcelona (5th place, 16 points) at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Champions League match on April 14, 2026, 9:00 PM

Both teams aim to improve their table position

近期状态

Atlético Madrid's form in the last five games is LLLWL

This corresponds to 1 win and 4 losses

The last game ended in a loss

FC Barcelona shows WWWLW form in their last five matches

This corresponds to 4 wins and 1 loss

The last game was won

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlético Madrid scored an average of 1.65 goals and conceded an average of 1.03 goals per game this season

At home, they score 1.67 goals and concede 0.67 goals on average

FC Barcelona is offensively stronger with an average of 2.71 goals scored and 0.97 goals conceded per game

Away, they score 2.75 goals and concede 1.75 goals on average

The Riyadh Air Metropolitano has seen an average of 3.6 goals in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Madrid won 2 and FC Barcelona won 3

There were no draws

The goal difference is 8:8

The last encounter on April 8, 2026, saw Atlético Madrid win away 2:0 against FC Barcelona

关键球员

For Atlético Madrid, Julián Alvarez with 9 season goals and 4 assists, Marcos Llorente (4 goals, 1 assist) and Antoine Griezmann (2 goals, 3 assists) are key offensive players

Julián Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann show a declining form trend

Marcos Llorente has stable form

Not nominated: Dávid Hancko (2G/1A)

For FC Barcelona, Fermín López (6 goals, 4 assists), Lamine Yamal (5 goals, 4 assists) and Ferran Torres are noteworthy

Ferran Torres shows a rising form trend with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Fermín López and Lamine Yamal show a declining form trend

Not nominated: Robert Lewandowski (4G/0A)

门将

Juan Musso for Atlético Madrid played 3 season games and has an average rating of 7.63

Atlético Madrid recorded 12 clean sheets

Joan García for FC Barcelona played 8 season games in goal and has an average rating of 6.57

FC Barcelona also achieved 12 clean sheets

影响因素

Atlético Madrid has scored an average of 1.67 goals at home and conceded 0.67 goals

FC Barcelona scored an average of 2.75 goals away and conceded 1.75 goals

The Riyadh Air Metropolitano has an average of 3.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of matches and 60% of matches ended with over 2.5 goals

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