Champions League
FC Barcelona - Atlético de Madrid
04/08/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
2.4
3.6
1.2
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
6%2:2
6%4:1
5%xG 分解
FC Barcelona
Atlético de Madrid
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
64%
平局
20%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
49%
Under 3.5
51%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
36%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
64%
否
36%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: A home win probability of 64% is mathematically calculated
- FC Barcelona's home strength: Averaging 2.61 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded at Camp Nou
- Dominant form and H2H record: FC Barcelona with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games, plus a 4:1 H2H record against Atlético
风险因素
- Atlético Madrid: Only 56% of season goals available, indicating reduced attacking power
- Atlético Madrid's poor away form: 3 losses in the last 5 games
概述
FC Barcelona (5th place, 16 points) host Atlético Madrid (14th place, 13 points) at Camp Nou
Champions League match on April 8, 2026, 9:00 PM
Barcelona aims to improve its league position
近期状态
FC Barcelona's form is impressive: DWWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses)
Their last match was a 2-1 away win against Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid shows a form of WWLLL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)
Atlético's last match was a 1-2 home loss against FC Barcelona
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
FC Barcelona averages 2.67 goals scored per game and concedes 0.97 goals per game this season
At home, they average 2.61 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded per game
Atlético Madrid averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes 1.00 goals per game this season
Away from home, their average is 1.67 goals scored and 1.78 goals conceded per game
FC Barcelona kept 12 clean sheets, Atlético Madrid also kept 12 clean sheets
For Barcelona, both teams scored in 18 games, for Atlético Madrid in 15 games
At Camp Nou, the last 5 games averaged 5.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 Champions League head-to-head matches, FC Barcelona won 4 games, Atlético Madrid won 1 game
There were 0 draws
FC Barcelona scored 9 goals in these encounters, Atlético Madrid scored 6 goals
The last match on April 4, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
FC Barcelona's key players include Lamine Yamal with 5 goals and 4 assists (average rating 7.74) and Robert Lewandowski with 4 goals (average rating 6.94)
Jules Koundé contributed 2 goals and 1 assist this season (average rating 7.1)
Not nominated: Fermín López (6 goals/4 assists), Raphinha (3 goals/2 assists)
For Atlético Madrid, Julián Alvarez with 8 goals and 4 assists (average rating 7.75) and Antoine Griezmann with 2 goals and 3 assists (average rating 7.0) are important players
Dávid Hancko scored 2 goals and 1 assist (average rating 6.89)
门将
FC Barcelona's goalkeeper, Joan García, made 7 appearances this season
FC Barcelona recorded 12 clean sheets
Juan Musso is Atlético Madrid's goalkeeper with 2 appearances this season
Atlético Madrid achieved 12 clean sheets this season
影响因素
FC Barcelona benefits from its home advantage with an average of 2.61 goals scored and only 0.44 goals conceded at Camp Nou
Camp Nou shows a high goal-scoring rate, with an average of 5.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 60% of the last 5 games at Camp Nou, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%