Champions League
Liverpool - Paris Saint Germain
04/14/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.4
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
25%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
66%
Under 2.5
34%
Over 3.5
44%
Under 3.5
56%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 46% for Liverpool (predicted home goals 1.90)
- Paris Saint Germain shows positive form with 5 consecutive wins and scores more frequently (3.4 goals) than their season average (2.5 goals)
- Liverpool's goal production has recently declined (1.4 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.9 goals)
风险因素
- Only 57% of Paris Saint Germain's seasonal goal threat is available
- Liverpool has only 3 days of rest since their last match
- The recent head-to-head record favors Paris Saint Germain with two wins in three matches
概述
Liverpool (3rd place, 18 points) host Paris Saint Germain (11th place, 14 points) in a Champions League match at Anfield
The match takes place on April 14, 2026, 8:00 PM
Liverpool, in a stronger league position, faces an important encounter against the slightly lower-ranked Parisians
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Liverpool's form in the last 5 games: WLLLW
The home team recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Liverpool's last appearance was a 2-0 home win against Fulham
Paris Saint Germain's form in the last 5 games: WWWWW
The visitors won all 5 of their last games
Paris Saint Germain's last appearance was a 2-0 home win against Liverpool
统计数据
Liverpool averages 1.63 goals scored per game and concedes 1.31 goals
At home, these values improve to 1.61 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded per home game
Paris Saint Germain shows strong offensive and defensive performance with an average of 2.26 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per game
Away from home, they score 2.25 goals and concede 1.25 goals on average
Liverpool achieved 10 clean sheets in total, while Paris Saint Germain managed 14
Both teams scored in 20 of Liverpool's games and 11 of Paris Saint Germain's games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 of Liverpool's games and 16 of Paris Saint Germain's games
Anfield has seen an average of 3.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches so far, Liverpool has secured 1 win
Paris Saint Germain won 2 of the matches
There have been no draws between the two teams
The goal difference of 3:1 goals favors Paris Saint Germain
The last encounter on April 8, 2026, ended in a 2-0 victory for Paris Saint Germain
Recent head-to-head matches show dominance by Paris Saint Germain
关键球员
For Liverpool, key players in the starting eleven include:
Florian Wirtz (Midfielder) scored 2 goals and provided 3 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.64 (season average 7.34)
Dominik Szoboszlai (Midfielder) contributed 5 goals and 4 assists this season, with an average rating of 7.76
Hugo Ekitiké (Attacker) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and has an average season rating of 6.98
For Paris Saint Germain, the following players are notable:
Désiré Doué (Attacker) scored 4 times in the last 5 games and has 5 goals and 2 assists this season
Ousmane Dembélé (Attacker) contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, showing rising form (7.50 rating)
Achraf Hakimi (Defender) provided 5 assists in the last 5 games and has an average season rating of 7.38
门将
Liverpool's goal will be defended by Giorgi Mamardashvili, who has an average season rating of 6.54
Liverpool has achieved 10 clean sheets this season
Matvey Safonov will start in goal for Paris Saint Germain and has an average season rating of 6.93
Paris Saint Germain has recorded 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Anfield has seen an average of 3.6 goals per match in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%
Liverpool scores an average of 1.61 goals at home and concedes 0.94 goals
Paris Saint Germain scores an average of 2.25 goals away and concedes 1.25 goals