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Bundesliga

Heidenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen

03/21/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Heidenheim
1.2
Total xG
3.3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
HEIB0L

Heidenheim

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.49
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第6位, 相差12位)
-0.16
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.02
Arijon Ibrahimovic未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Julian Niehues未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
Jan Schöppner未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Patrick Mainka未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Eren Dinkçi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Hennes Behrens未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅11%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体0.9球)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第18位, 相差12位)
+0.12
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.05
Alejandro Grimaldo未进大名单 (6球, 5助攻)
Ernest Poku未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Christian Kofane未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Aleix García未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)
Edmond Tapsoba未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
Martin Terrier未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Ibrahim Maza未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Jarell Quansah未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.64
+0.64
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

20%

平局

23%

客胜

57%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

43%

客胜或平局

80%

非平局

77%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Heidenheim is missing key players such as Arijon Ibrahimovic (1G/3A), Julian Niehues (3G/0A), Jan Schöppner (1G/1A), Patrick Mainka (1G/1A), Eren Dinkçi (1G/1A), and Hennes Behrens (0G/2A), leaving only 11% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen is missing key players such as Alejandro Grimaldo (6G/5A), Ernest Poku (5G/4A), Christian Kofane (5G/3A), Aleix García (2G/5A), Edmond Tapsoba (4G/2A), Martin Terrier (4G/1A), Ibrahim Maza (2G/3A), and Jarell Quansah (3G/0A), leaving 0% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a clear advantage for Bayer 04 Leverkusen with a win probability of 57% and 2.09 expected goals
风险因素
  • Heidenheim's tactical approach indicates few shots on target with only 2.2 shots on goal
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen's goal production is currently slowing at an average of 1.2 goals, compared to their season average of 1.8
概述

Heidenheim (18th place, 14 points) host Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th place, 45 points) at the Voith-Arena

Bundesliga match on March 21, 2026, 3:30 PM

Heidenheim fights relegation, Leverkusen for a spot in international competition

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Heidenheim shows a poor form with 'LDLLL' across all competitions

The team recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 games and has 3 consecutive losses

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has a form of 'WDDDL' across all competitions

The team achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

统计数据

Heidenheim scores an average of 0.92 goals per game and concedes 2.23 goals

In home games, Heidenheim scores 0.94 goals and concedes 1.94 goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen scores an average of 1.88 goals per game and concedes 1.27 goals

In away games, Leverkusen scores 1.92 goals and concedes 1.75 goals

Heidenheim has not kept any clean sheets this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen kept 7 clean sheets, with 1 of them being away

In 15 out of 26 Heidenheim games, both teams scored, and the same for Leverkusen in 15 out of 26 games

The Voith-Arena saw an average of 4.2 goals per game, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim recorded 0 wins, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 wins, and 0 draws

The goal difference of 4:18 clearly favors Leverkusen

The last encounter on November 8, 2025, ended with a 6-0 victory for Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bayer 04 Leverkusen dominated recent encounters

关键球员

For Heidenheim, Marnon Busch is a relevant defender with an average rating of 6.7 in 22 season appearances

For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, goalkeeper Mark Flekken is notable with a seasonal average rating of 6.89 in 17 appearances and a rising form trend

门将

Heidenheim completed 0 clean sheets this season

Mark Flekken of Bayer 04 Leverkusen achieved 7 clean sheets

影响因素

The Voith-Arena averages 4.2 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 matches at the Voith-Arena, both teams scored, and 4 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Heidenheim scored an average of 0.94 goals at home and conceded 1.94 goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen scored an average of 1.92 goals away and conceded 1.75 goals

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