Champions League
Arsenal - Sporting CP
04/15/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.9
1.0
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
10%3:1
6%3:0
6%xG 分解
Arsenal
Sporting CP
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
26%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Arsenal with a probability of 55%
- Sporting CP demonstrates a strong away offense, averaging 2.54 goals per game
- Arsenal's goal production shows a negative trend (1.4 recently compared to 2.2 season average)
风险因素
- The mathematical model projects a 45% chance for Sporting CP to draw or win away
- According to the model, the probability of both teams scoring is 56%, indicating conceded goals for Arsenal
- Arsenal's goal production shows a negative trend, while Sporting CP demonstrates a positive trend
概述
Arsenal (1st place, 24 points) host Sporting CP (7th place, 16 points) at Emirates Stadium. Champions League match on April 15, 2026, 8:00 PM. Arsenal are clear table leaders and aim to solidify their position
近期状态
Arsenal's form over the last five matches is WWLWL (3 wins, 2 losses), with their last game ending in a loss. Sporting CP shows WWWLW (4 wins, 1 loss) and won their last match. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Arsenal averages 1.94 goals scored and concedes 0.75 goals. At home: 1.89 goals scored, 0.58 goals conceded. Sporting CP is offensively strong (avg. 2.61 goals), defensively stable (avg. 0.61 goals conceded). Away: 2.54 goals scored, 0.85 goals conceded. Emirates Stadium: avg. 2.8 goals/game, 40% BTTS, 60% over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There have been 2 head-to-head matches between these teams. Arsenal won both encounters. The last duel on April 7, 2026, ended in a 0-1 victory for Arsenal. In direct comparison, Sporting CP scored 1 goal and Arsenal scored 6 goals
关键球员
Arsenal's offense relies on Gabriel Martinelli (6G/2A, last 1 goal, 1 assist, declining form), Viktor Gyökeres (4G/2A, last 2 goals, stable form), and Declan Rice (1G/2A, last 1 goal, stable form). For Sporting CP, Francisco Trincão (4G/3A, last 2 goals, 1 assist, declining form), Luis Suárez (5G/2A, last 1 goal, declining form), and Geny Catamo (1G/2A, last 1 goal, rising form) are crucial
门将
David Raya of Arsenal recorded 15 clean sheets this season. His average season rating is 7.19. Rui Silva of Sporting CP achieved 14 clean sheets. His average season rating is 6.93
影响因素
Arsenal utilizes home advantage with avg. 1.89 goals scored and only avg. 0.58 goals conceded. Sporting CP is strong offensively away (avg. 2.54 goals), but more vulnerable (avg. 0.85 goals conceded). Emirates Stadium records avg. 2.8 goals/game. 40% of matches ended with BTTS, 60% with over 2.5 goals