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Champions League

Paris Saint Germain - Liverpool

04/08/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Paris Saint Germain
1.4
Total xG
2.9
Liverpool
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
PSGLIV

Paris Saint Germain

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.9球)
-0.84
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.51
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.21
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
+0.21
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第3位, 相差8位)
-0.12
Bradley Barcola未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)

Liverpool

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.34
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.23
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.24倍)
-0.21
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第11位, 相差8位)
+0.06
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.02
Mohamed Salah替补席 (3球, 3助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

28%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Contrasting Form: Paris Saint Germain shows a run of 4 wins in their last 5 games, while Liverpool has achieved only 1 win in the same period
  • Strong Home Performance from Paris Saint Germain: The team averages 2.27 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.53 goals per game
  • Offensive Difficulties for Liverpool: The team's goal production is currently stalling with an average of only 1.2 goals, compared to 2.0 in the seasonal average
概述

Paris Saint Germain (11th place, 14 points) host Liverpool (3rd place, 18 points) at Parc des Princes

Champions League match on April 8, 2026, 9:00 PM

A crucial encounter in the battle for European supremacy

近期状态

Both teams show differing form trends

Paris Saint Germain is in strong form: LWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss

They recently secured a 3-1 home win against Toulouse and a 4-0 away win against Nice

Liverpool, on the other hand, is in poorer form: LDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Their recent matches include a 0-4 away loss to Manchester City and a 1-2 away loss to Brighton & Hove Albion

统计数据

Paris Saint Germain averages 2.26 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per season

At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 2.27 goals scored and only 0.53 goals conceded per game

Liverpool averages 1.61 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per game

Away from home, they concede an average of 1.79 goals and score 1.64 goals

The Parc des Princes sees an average of 4.4 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at this venue, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In head-to-head encounters, there have been 2 matches between Paris Saint Germain and Liverpool

Both teams secured 1 win each, with no draws

The goal difference stands at 1:1, indicating a balanced record

Liverpool won the last encounter 1-0 at home on March 11, 2025

关键球员

For Paris Saint Germain, Achraf Hakimi shows stable form with 6 assists in his last 5 games

Ousmane Dembélé is in rising form, scoring 2 goals and providing 2 assists in his last 4 appearances

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has contributed 7 goals and 4 assists in 11 seasonal appearances

For Liverpool, Dominik Szoboszlai is an important midfielder with 5 goals and 4 assists in 10 seasonal appearances

Florian Wirtz shows rising form with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games

Hugo Ekitiké has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games and is in rising form

门将

Matvey Safonov is the designated goalkeeper for Paris Saint Germain, a team that has kept 14 clean sheets in total

For Liverpool, Giorgi Mamardashvili is in goal; his team has recorded 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Parc des Princes is considered a high-scoring venue with an average of 4.4 goals per game

In 4 of the last 5 matches at Parc des Princes, both teams scored, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

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