Europa League
Aston Villa - Bologna
04/16/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%xG 分解
Aston Villa
Bologna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
30%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Aston Villa is slightly favored with a win probability of 38%
- Historical dominance: Aston Villa has won all 3 head-to-head matches against Bologna, with a goal difference of 6:1
- Home strength: Aston Villa shows defensive stability at home, conceding an average of 0.88 goals per home game
风险因素
- Bologna recently shows offensive strength with an average of 5.6 shots on target and 1.8 goals per game in recent form
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of 30% for a draw and 33% for an away win by Bologna, indicating a tight match
概述
Aston Villa (2nd place, 21 points) host Bologna (10th place, 15 points) at Villa Park
Europa League match on April 16, 2026, 8:00 PM
Aston Villa aims to solidify its strong position in the Europa League
Bologna is fighting to catch up with the top ranks
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Aston Villa's form in the last 5 games (all competitions): LWWWD
The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Bologna's form in the last 5 games (all competitions): WLWLW
The team achieved 3 wins and 2 losses
统计数据
Aston Villa averages 1.34 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per season
At home, Aston Villa scores an average of 1.35 goals and concedes 0.88 goals
The team kept 9 clean sheets this season, with 6 at home
Bologna averages 1.31 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per season
Away, Bologna scores an average of 1.30 goals and concedes 0.95 goals
The team achieved 10 clean sheets this season, with 4 away
An average of 3.0 goals are scored per game at Villa Park
Both teams scored in 60% of games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of games
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa and Bologna, Aston Villa won all 3 games
The goal difference of 6:1 clearly favors Aston Villa
The last encounter on April 9, 2026, saw Aston Villa win 3:1 away
Aston Villa dominated the recent direct meetings
关键球员
Aston Villa:
Ollie Watkins (Attacker) scored 3 goals and 1 assist this season, 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, form trend rising
Emiliano Buendía (Midfielder) scored 1 goal and 4 assists this season, 0 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, form trend stable
John McGinn (Midfielder) scored 3 goals and 0 assists this season, 1 goal and 0 assists in the last 5 games, form trend stable
Bologna:
Jonathan Rowe (Attacker) scored 4 goals and 2 assists this season, 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, form trend stable
Federico Bernardeschi (Attacker) scored 5 goals and 0 assists this season, 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, form trend declining
Santiago Castro (Attacker) scored 2 goals and 2 assists this season, 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, form trend stable
门将
Aston Villa's goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez played in 7 season games, keeping 6 clean sheets at home
Bologna's goalkeeper Federico Ravaglia played in 4 season games, achieving 4 clean sheets away
影响因素
Aston Villa shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.35 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded per home game
Villa Park records an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 40%
The playing surface is grass