Europa League
Sporting Braga - Real Betis
04/08/2026, 04:45 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Sporting Braga
Real Betis
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
31%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Sporting Braga with 45 % probability
- Real Betis showed offensive strength in their last 5 games with an average of 6.4 shots on target
- Sporting Braga exhibits a solid home record, scoring 2.0 goals per home game while conceding only 0.93 goals
风险因素
- Both Sporting Braga and Real Betis show a negative recent form trend according to advanced statistics
- Sporting Braga's recent goal production of 1.6 goals is below their season average of 2.1 goals
- Real Betis' recent goal production of 1.5 goals is also lower than their season average of 1.8 goals
- The mathematical model calculates a significant draw probability of 31 %
概述
Sporting Braga (6th place, 17 points) host Real Betis (4th place, 17 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Braga
Europa League match on April 8, 2026, 6:45 PM
Both teams are level on points and are fighting for a better position in the league standings
近期状态
Sporting Braga's last 5 games show a form of DLWLW
This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their last result was a 1-0 win against Moreirense
Real Betis shows a form of LDWLD
This translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last result was a 0-0 draw against Espanyol
Sporting Braga's recent goal production has stalled at 1.6 goals, compared to their season average of 2.1 goals
Real Betis also shows a reduced goal production of 1.5 goals recently, against a season average of 1.8 goals
统计数据
Sporting Braga scores an average of 2.0 home goals and concedes 0.93 home goals per game
Real Betis scores an average of 1.5 away goals and concedes 1.75 goals per away game
The Estádio Municipal de Braga averages 3.8 total goals per game
In 60% of the last 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 100% ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between the two teams
关键球员
For Sporting Braga, Ricardo Horta (3 goals, 3 assists this season, 2 goals in last 5 games) and Gabri Martínez (5 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 goal in last 5 games) are important offensive players
Florian Grillitsch contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 of 5 games
Not nominated are Rodrigo Zalazar (6G/2A) and João Moutinho (0G/2A)
For Real Betis, Abde Ezzalzouli (3 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 assist in last 5 games) and Cucho Hernández (2 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) stand out
Aitor Ruibal showed rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Not nominated is Antony (5G/3A)
门将
Sporting Braga's goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek has achieved 10 clean sheets for his team in 15 season appearances
Real Betis' goalkeeper Pau López played in 5 season appearances with a total of 9 clean sheets for his team
影响因素
The Estádio Municipal de Braga is a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.8 goals per game and 100% of matches featuring over 2.5 goals in the last 5 encounters
Sporting Braga is offensively strong and defensively stable at home, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding only 0.93 goals per game