Europa League
Bologna - Aston Villa
04/09/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
10%1:0
9%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Bologna
Aston Villa
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
31%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Slight favoritism: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Bologna with 36% probability, while Aston Villa stands at 33%.
- Tactical advantage: Bologna averaged 5.4 shots on target in their last 5 games and is considered offensively strong.
- Head-to-Head dominance: Aston Villa won the last 2 direct encounters against Bologna, indicating historical superiority.
风险因素
- Aston Villa averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, which is considered average.
- Bologna has only 4 days since their last match.
概述
Bologna (10th place, 15 points) will host Aston Villa (2nd place, 21 points) at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The Europa League match is scheduled for April 9, 2026, 9:00 PM. Aston Villa is at the top of the table, while Bologna is in the midfield.
近期状态
Bologna's form across all competitions shows W-L-W-W-D (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). In their last five matches, the team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their most recent outing ended in a win. Aston Villa's form is L-W-L-W-W. The team achieved 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five encounters, with two consecutive wins recently.
统计数据
Bologna has scored an average of 1.29 goals per game this season and conceded 1.19 goals per game. Aston Villa has scored an average of 1.35 goals per game and also conceded 1.19 goals per game. Bologna kept 9 clean sheets, as did Aston Villa. In home games, Bologna scores an average of 1.27 goals and concedes 1.64 goals. Aston Villa scores an average of 1.36 goals away and concedes 1.57 goals per away game. At the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, the last 5 games saw an average of 1.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals scored in 1 of 5 games.
历史交锋
There have been a total of 2 head-to-head matches between Bologna and Aston Villa. Aston Villa won both matches, while Bologna has not secured a victory, and there have been no draws. Aston Villa scored a total of 3 goals, Bologna none. The last encounter on September 25, 2025, ended in a 0:1 away win for Aston Villa, underlining Aston Villa's dominance in recent direct meetings.
关键球员
For Bologna, the following players are noteworthy: Jonathan Rowe (3 goals, 2 assists, AvgRating 7.07, 2 goals and 2 assists in last 5 games). Federico Bernardeschi (5 goals, AvgRating 7.24, 2 goals in last 5 games). Juan Miranda (1 assist, AvgRating 7.35, 2 assists in last 5 games). For Aston Villa, these players stand out: Ollie Watkins (1 goal, 1 assist, AvgRating 6.66, 2 goals and 1 assist in last 5 games, with rising form). John McGinn (3 goals, AvgRating 6.92, 2 goals in last 5 games). Emiliano Buendía (1 goal, 3 assists, AvgRating 6.77, 1 assist in last 5 games).
门将
Federico Ravaglia, Bologna's goalkeeper, made 3 appearances this season. Aston Villa's goalkeeper Emiliano Martínez played 6 matches this season. Both teams recorded 9 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Bologna scores an average of 1.27 goals at home and concedes 1.64 goals. Aston Villa scores an average of 1.36 goals away and concedes 1.57 goals. The Stadio Renato Dall'Ara has seen an average of 1.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 2 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals scored in 1 out of 5 games.