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Europa League

Real Betis - Sporting Braga

04/16/2026, 07:00 PM

2 : 4
预期进球
Real Betis
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Sporting Braga
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

0:1

9%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
RBSB

Real Betis

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.29
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.24
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
Aitor Ruibal替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Sporting Braga

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.31
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.10
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.27倍)
-0.07
João Moutinho替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

31%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • The prediction model indicates an extremely close match with probabilities for home win (34%), draw (31%), and away win (35%)
  • Sporting Braga is in better form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, while Real Betis recently drew three times in a row
  • Sporting Braga shows a significantly higher average goal production this season (1.96 goals per game) than Real Betis (1.45 goals per game)
风险因素
  • Limited data available for duel statistics in the last 5 matches for both teams
  • Sporting Braga's goal production recently stalled at 1.6 goals, compared to their season average of 2.0 goals
概述

Real Betis (4th place, 17 points) host Sporting Braga (6th place, 17 points) in the Europa League on April 16, 2026, 9:00 PM

Both teams are level on points in the table and are fighting for a good starting position

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Real Betis shows a form of WLDDD across all competitions

The home team achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last five games

Real Betis has registered three consecutive draws recently

Sporting Braga shows a form of WLWDW in all competitions

The away team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches

Sporting Braga won their last game

统计数据

Real Betis scores an average of 1.45 goals per game this season and concedes 1.23 goals

In home games, the average is 1.44 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded per match

Sporting Braga shows stronger offense with an average of 1.96 goals per game and a stable defense with 0.96 goals conceded

Away from home, Sporting Braga scores an average of 2.0 goals and concedes 1.08 goals

According to the description of advanced statistics, Real Betis consistently scores around 1.8 goals per game

Sporting Braga's goal production has recently stalled at 1.6 goals, while their season average is 2.0, according to the description

The prediction model expects over 1.5 goals in the match with a 72% probability

The probability that both teams score is 51% according to the model

历史交锋

Real Betis and Sporting Braga have met once before

This sole head-to-head match ended in a 1:1 draw on April 8, 2026

The historical record between the two teams is even, with 1 goal scored by each

关键球员

For Real Betis, the following players are notable: Antony (Attacker) scored 5 goals and 3 assists this season with a 'declining' form trend

Cucho Hernández (Attacker) contributed 3 goals and 1 assist this season with a 'stable' form trend

Abde Ezzalzouli (Attacker) has 3 goals and 1 assist this season with a 'stable' form trend

Not nominated for Real Betis: Aitor Ruibal (1G/1A)

For Sporting Braga, the following players are to be observed: Gabri Martínez (Attacker) scored 5 goals and 1 assist this season with a 'declining' form trend

Ricardo Horta (Attacker) contributed 3 goals and 3 assists this season with a 'declining' form trend

Pau Víctor (Attacker) has 3 goals and 1 assist this season with a 'stable' form trend

Not nominated for Sporting Braga: João Moutinho (0G/2A)

门将

Real Betis' goalkeeper, Pau López, is nominated and recently showed an average rating of 6.82

Real Betis achieved 9 clean sheets this season

For Sporting Braga, Lukas Hornicek is nominated and recently showed an average rating of 6.91

Sporting Braga has recorded 11 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Real Betis showed a solid performance in home games with an average of 1.44 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded

Sporting Braga scored an average of 2.0 goals away from home and conceded 1.08 goals, indicating a strong away record

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