Europa League
Nottingham Forest - Porto
04/16/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Nottingham Forest
Porto
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
29%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- Porto's strong season record (2.03 goals/game, 0.48 goals conceded/game) indicates clear superiority
- The mathematical analysis sees Porto as the favorite with a 42% win probability
- Nottingham Forest's current form with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches shows a positive trend
风险因素
- Igor Jesus (7G/1A) and Nikola Milenković (1G/1A) are missing for Nottingham Forest, with only 68% of the starting eleven's seasonal goal threat available
- Porto has not won any of the two head-to-head matches against Nottingham Forest (1 loss, 1 draw)
- Porto conceded an average of 1.0 goals in recent matches, compared to the season average of 0.59
概述
Nottingham Forest (13th place, 14 points) host Porto (5th place, 17 points) at The City Ground
Europa League match on April 16, 2026, 8:00 PM
The mathematical analysis sees Porto as the favorite with a 42% win probability
Nottingham Forest is in the mid-table, while Porto competes for the top spots
近期状态
Nottingham Forest shows a form of DWWDD across all competitions
This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches
The last result was a draw, and the team has 2 consecutive draws
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Porto has a form of WWDDW across all competitions
This includes 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches
Their last game ended with a win
统计数据
Nottingham Forest averages 1.00 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals per game this season
Nottingham Forest's home record shows 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded per home game
Porto is significantly stronger offensively with an average of 2.03 goals per game and has a robust defense with only 0.48 goals conceded
Porto's away record shows 2.00 goals scored and 0.53 goals conceded per away game
At The City Ground, an average of 1.4 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 20% of the matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Forest has won 1 game, Porto none
There has been 1 draw between the teams
Nottingham Forest scored a total of 3 goals, Porto 1 goal
The last encounter on April 9, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
Historically, the home team dominated these encounters
关键球员
For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White, Nicolás Domínguez, and Neco Williams are key players
Morgan Gibbs-White scored 1 goal in the last 367 minutes with stable form and a season average rating of 6.93
Nicolás Domínguez recently recorded 1 goal in 235 minutes with stable form and a season average rating of 7.03
Neco Williams contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 359 minutes with rising form and a season average rating of 6.96
For Porto, William Gomes, Gabri Veiga, and Borja Sainz are crucial players
William Gomes recently shined with 4 goals in 201 minutes with rising form and a season average rating of 6.83
Gabri Veiga contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 262 minutes with stable form and a season average rating of 7.19
Borja Sainz provided 1 assist in the last 170 minutes with stable form and a season average rating of 6.89
门将
Stefan Ortega is the goalkeeper for Nottingham Forest
His team has recorded 8 clean sheets this season
Diogo Costa is in goal for Porto
Porto has managed an impressive 18 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.43 goals per home game in their own stadium
The City Ground recorded an average of 1.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 20% ended with over 2.5 goals
The playing surface is grass