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Europa League

SC Freiburg - Aston Villa

05/20/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
SC Freiburg
1.4
Total xG
2.8
Aston Villa
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SFAV

SC Freiburg

小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
Y. Suzuki未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.1球 vs 总体1.7球)

Aston Villa

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+0.40
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.02
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

28%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Freiburg's offense is critically weakened by the absence of Y. Suzuki (4G/2A), leaving only 41% of the seasonal goal threat available
  • Aston Villa's offense is also weakened, with only 52% of the seasonal goal production available
  • Both teams show a positive form trend according to Advanced Stats, scoring more frequently recently than their season average
风险因素
  • Limited data available for head-to-head encounters
概述

SC Freiburg (7th place, 17 points) faces Aston Villa (2nd place, 21 points) in the Europa League

The match takes place on May 20, 2026, 8:00 PM at Beşiktaş Park

Both teams are high in the league standings, indicating an important encounter

近期状态

SC Freiburg's form across all competitions is LDWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Their last outing was a win

Aston Villa has a form of LLWDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Their last match also ended in a win

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

SC Freiburg scored an average of 1.5 goals per game this season and conceded 1.68 goals

At home, these values are 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per game

Aston Villa averaged 1.46 goals per game and conceded 1.3 goals

Away from home, Aston Villa scored 1.47 goals and conceded 1.73 goals per game

At Beşiktaş Park, an average of 4.0 goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 67% of matches, and 67% ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

No head-to-head meetings between SC Freiburg and Aston Villa were found in the available data

关键球员

For SC Freiburg, Igor Matanovic is notable, scoring 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rising form trend

Johan Manzambi contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games, showing stable form

Vincenzo Grifo has 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games, with a slightly declining form trend

For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins stands out, scoring 4 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rising form trend

John McGinn scored 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, also with a rising form trend

Emiliano Buendía showed 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with stable form

门将

SC Freiburg goalkeeper Noah Atubolu has recorded 6 clean sheets this season

Emiliano Martínez of Aston Villa has recorded 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

At Beşiktaş Park, the average is 4.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 67% of matches, and 67% ended with over 2.5 goals

SC Freiburg scored an average of 1.5 home goals and conceded 1.0 home goals per game

Aston Villa scored an average of 1.47 away goals and conceded 1.73 away goals per game

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