Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano
05/27/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.0
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%xG 分解
Crystal Palace
Rayo Vallecano
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
27%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis projects a 40% win probability for Crystal Palace, 27% for a draw, and 33% for Rayo Vallecano, indicating a closely contested match
- Form Trend: Rayo Vallecano demonstrates stronger recent form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games compared to Crystal Palace (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
- Tactical Approach and Goal Potential: Rayo Vallecano averaged 6.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, while Crystal Palace averaged 4.6 shots on target, and the venue statistics suggest a high-scoring game (3.2 goals/game, 80% over 2.5 goals)
风险因素
- Home Team Fatigue: Crystal Palace had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Away Defensive Weakness: Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 1.81 goals per away game
- Tight Result Expected: The model's prediction indicates a close game with a 40% home win and 33% away win, increasing the risk factor
概述
Crystal Palace host Rayo Vallecano at the Red Bull Arena for a Europa Conference League match. The game is scheduled for May 27, 2026, 9:00 PM. Crystal Palace are in 10th place with 10 points, while Rayo Vallecano are 5th with 13 points
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Crystal Palace's form in their last five matches is WDLDL
They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a loss
Rayo Vallecano shows strong recent form with WDDWW
They achieved 3 wins and 2 draws without a single loss
They won their last two matches consecutively
统计数据
Crystal Palace averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded per game over the season
At home, they average 1.06 goals scored and 1.28 goals conceded
They kept 12 clean sheets in total, with 7 at home
Rayo Vallecano also averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per game
Away from home, they average 1.06 goals scored and 1.81 goals conceded
They kept 12 clean sheets in total, with 4 away from home
The Red Bull Arena has seen an average of 3.2 goals per game in 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games
历史交锋
No head-to-head data is available for these two teams
关键球员
For Crystal Palace, key players include:
Ismaïla Sarr (Attacker) with 9 season goals, 0 assists, and an average rating of 7.24, showing declining form
Daichi Kamada (Midfielder) with 1 season goal and 4 assists, an average rating of 7.17, also showing declining form
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Attacker) contributed 2 season goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.77, maintaining stable form
Jørgen Strand Larsen (1 Goal / 1 Assist) is not nominated
For Rayo Vallecano, players to watch are:
Álvaro García (Attacker) with 6 season goals and 4 assists, an average rating of 7.3, and declining form
Alexandre Zurawski (Attacker) scored 4 season goals and 0 assists with a rating of 7.1, showing stable form and 3 goals in his last 5 games
Florian Lejeune (Defender) with 1 season goal and 2 assists, a rating of 7.34, stable form, and 1 goal in his last 5 games
Not nominated are Alfonso Espino (2 Goals / 1 Assist) and Pedro Díaz (0 Goals / 2 Assists)
门将
Crystal Palace's goalkeeper, Dean Henderson, recorded 12 clean sheets in 13 appearances, including 7 in home games, with a form trend of -0.56
Opposite him, Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano played 14 games, achieved 12 clean sheets, with 4 in away games, and has a stable form trend of -0.07
影响因素
The match will be played on a grass surface at the Red Bull Arena
The venue's history shows an average of 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace scored an average of 1.06 goals at home and conceded 1.28 goals
Rayo Vallecano scored an average of 1.06 goals away and conceded 1.81 goals