Europa Conference League
Fiorentina - Crystal Palace
04/16/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.9
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Fiorentina
Crystal Palace
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
28%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Critical goal production for Crystal Palace: Only 49% of their usual goal threat is available
- Form curve trend: Crystal Palace shows a positive trend with 2.3 goals recently compared to a season average of 1.5 goals, while Fiorentina shows a negative trend with 1.0 goals recently compared to 1.4 goals
- Head-to-Head record: Crystal Palace recently won the only encounter 3-0, and the pipeline analysis sees them slightly favored with a 37% win probability
风险因素
- Fiorentina had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- The head-to-head record is based on only a single match, limiting its predictive power
概述
Fiorentina (15th place, 9 points) host Crystal Palace (10th place, 10 points) at Stadio Artemio Franchi
Europa Conference League match on April 16, 2026, 9:00 PM
Crystal Palace is only one point and five places ahead of the home team in the table
The mathematical analysis predicts a very close result with a slight advantage for Crystal Palace
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Fiorentina's form in the last five matches is WDWLW
The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss and won their last game
Crystal Palace's form in the last five matches is DDWWW
They achieved 3 wins and 2 draws and are unbeaten in 3 games
Fiorentina's goal production is currently low (1.0 goals) compared to their season average (1.4 goals), indicating a negative trend
Crystal Palace is scoring more frequently (2.3 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals), showing a positive trend
统计数据
Fiorentina scored an average of 1.16 goals per game this season and conceded 1.38 goals
At home, the average is 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded per home game
Crystal Palace scored an average of 1.13 goals per game and conceded 1.16 goals
Away from home, Crystal Palace scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 1.0 away goals
The Stadio Artemio Franchi records an average of 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of matches at Stadio Artemio Franchi
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of matches at Stadio Artemio Franchi
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams so far
Crystal Palace won the only encounter 3-0 on April 9, 2026
The goal difference in direct duels is 3-0 in favor of Crystal Palace
关键球员
For Fiorentina, Albert Gudmundsson (4 goals, 3 assists this season, stable form), Roberto Piccoli (3 goals, 1 assist this season, stable form), and Rolando Mandragora (1 goal, 1 assist this season, rising form) are key
Fiorentina's starting eleven includes David de Gea, Luca Ranieri, Marin Pongracic, Pietro Comuzzo, Robin Gosens, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolò Fagioli, Jack Harrison, Albert Gudmundsson, Manor Solomon, Roberto Piccoli
For Crystal Palace, Ismaïla Sarr (6 goals, 0 assists this season, rising form), Jean-Philippe Mateta (2 goals, 2 assists this season, rising form), and Daichi Kamada (0 goals, 3 assists this season, stable form) are important players
Crystal Palace's starting eleven includes Dean Henderson, Chris Richards, Maxence Lacroix, Jaydee Canvot, Daniel Muñoz, Adam Wharton, Daichi Kamada, Tyrick Mitchell, Ismaïla Sarr, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Yéremy Pino
门将
Fiorentina's goalkeeper is David de Gea, the team achieved 7 clean sheets this season
Crystal Palace's goalkeeper is Dean Henderson, the team achieved 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Fiorentina plays at Stadio Artemio Franchi on grass
The home team scores an average of 1.18 home goals and concedes 1.18 home goals
Crystal Palace scores an average of 1.12 away goals and concedes 1.0 away goals
The stadium averages 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches, and over 2.5 goals in 40% of matches