Europa Conference League
Strasbourg - FSV Mainz 05
04/16/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.9
1.1
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
Strasbourg
FSV Mainz 05
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
54%
平局
25%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
46%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Strasbourg with a 54% probability
- Strasbourg is at the top of the league and displays a strong defense at home with only 0.67 goals conceded per game
- FSV Mainz 05 won the only direct encounter with a 2-0 score
风险因素
- FSV Mainz 05 had only 4 days of rest since their last match
- Strasbourg lost the last direct encounter against FSV Mainz 05 away
- FSV Mainz 05 plays counter-oriented with an average of 42% possession
概述
Strasbourg (1st place, 16 points) host FSV Mainz 05 (7th place, 13 points) at the Stade de la Meinau
The Europa Conference League match takes place on April 16, 2026, 9:00 PM
Strasbourg leads the league, while Mainz is in the midfield
The mathematical analysis suggests a 54% home win for Strasbourg
近期状态
Strasbourg's form in the last five games is DDWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Their last game was a 0-2 away loss against FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 shows a form of WWWWL in their last five games
This means 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss
Their last match was a 0-1 home loss against SC Freiburg
统计数据
Strasbourg averages 1.6 goals per home game and concedes only 0.67 goals
This led to 7 clean sheets at home
FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.2 away goals and concedes 1.73 goals per game
They achieved only 1 clean sheet away
At Stade de la Meinau, an average of 2.4 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches, 40% of matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Strasbourg scores consistently (~1.8 goals per game)
FSV Mainz 05 is currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.3)
历史交锋
There has been 1 direct encounter between these two teams
FSV Mainz 05 won this match 2-0 on April 9, 2026
Mainz scored 2 goals, while Strasbourg remained goalless
FSV Mainz 05 was dominant in this last encounter
关键球员
For Strasbourg, Martial Godo shows rising form in 4 of 5 recent games with 2 goals and 1 assist (total 4 season goals, 2 assists)
Julio Enciso participated in 5 of 5 recent games, scoring 1 goal and has a total of 2 season goals and 2 assists (stable form)
Diego Moreira scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 5 of 5 recent games (total 0 season goals, 2 assists, stable form)
For FSV Mainz 05, Paul Nebel shows rising form in 5 of 5 recent games with 2 goals and 2 assists (total 0 season goals, 3 assists)
Kaishu Sano scored 1 goal in 4 of 5 recent games (total 1 season goal, 1 assist, rising form)
Phillip Tietz scored 2 goals in 5 of 5 recent games (total 0 season goals, 0 assists, rising form)
门将
Strasbourg's goalkeeper Mike Penders played 11 season games and achieved 7 clean sheets in home games
His average rating in the last 5 games is 7.15
Mainz's goalkeeper Daniel Batz played 5 season games and kept 1 clean sheet in away games
His average rating in the last 5 games is 7.06
影响因素
Strasbourg benefits from home advantage at Stade de la Meinau
The team scores an average of 1.6 home goals and concedes only 0.67 goals
The stadium has an average of 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% and over 2.5 goals in 40% of matches
The playing surface is grass
Valentín Barco (19 games), Mike Penders (19 games), and Samir El Mourabet (20 games) have significant experience at Stade de la Meinau