Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 - Eintracht Frankfurt
03/22/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
27%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Critical absence for Mainz: Only 55% of goal production is available without N. Amiri (10G/2A)
- Positive form of Mainz 05: The team is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.3)
- Mathematical prediction: The analysis shows a home win probability of 48% and 1.67 expected home goals
风险因素
- Short recovery time for Mainz 05 with only 3 days rest since the last match
- Eintracht Frankfurt concedes an average of 2.21 goals per away game
- Key players not nominated for Eintracht Frankfurt: Robin Koch (3G/1A) and Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab (2G/1A)
概述
FSV Mainz 05 (14th place, 27 points) hosts Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 38 points) at the Mewa Arena. The Bundesliga clash takes place on March 22, 2026, 3:30 PM. Mainz is fighting for survival, while Frankfurt aims for European qualification spots
近期状态
Mainz 05 is in good shape with a form of DDDWW (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) from their last five games across all competitions. The team has achieved two consecutive wins recently
Eintracht Frankfurt shows a form of WLWDW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and won their last match
An analysis of the advanced statistics indicates that FSV Mainz 05 is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.3 goals per game), representing a positive trend
Eintracht Frankfurt scores consistently with an average of 1.9 goals per game, and their form curve is stable
统计数据
FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.19 goals scored per game and concedes 1.58 goals
At home, the average is 1.15 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded
Mainz kept 3 clean sheets, 2 of them at home
Both teams scored in 15 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 13 matches
Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.88 goals scored per game and also concedes 1.88 goals
Away, the average is 1.86 goals scored and 2.21 goals conceded
Frankfurt kept 7 clean sheets, 1 of them away
Both teams scored in 17 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches
The Mewa Arena has seen an average of 2.8 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 3 of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored
历史交锋
In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Mainz 05, 2 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt, and 2 draws
Mainz 05 scored a total of 5 goals, while Eintracht Frankfurt also scored 5 goals
The last encounter on November 09, 2025, ended 0:1 for the away team, signifying a victory for Mainz 05
The away team has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For FSV Mainz 05, Jae-sung Lee with 4 goals and 2 assists, Danny da Costa with 2 goals and 3 assists, and Paul Nebel with 2 goals and 1 assist are important attacking forces
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Jonathan Burkardt stands out with 9 goals, Farès Chaïbi with 8 assists, and Jean-Mattéo Bahoya with 3 goals and 3 assists
Jonathan Burkardt is in rising form with 2 goals in his last 5 games played
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya also shows a rising form with 2 assists in his last 5 games played
Sheraldo Becker (Mainz) and Farès Chaïbi (Frankfurt) show a declining form trend
门将
Daniel Batz is available as goalkeeper for FSV Mainz 05, achieving an average rating of 7.13 in 14 season appearances
Mainz 05 has completed 3 clean sheets this season
Eintracht Frankfurt's goalkeeper Michael Zetterer played in 14 season appearances and achieved an average rating of 6.82
Frankfurt has managed 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Mainz 05 scored 15 goals and conceded 16 goals at home
The Mewa Arena has seen an average of 2.8 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored