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Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 - Eintracht Frankfurt

03/22/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
FSV Mainz 05
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
FM0EF

FSV Mainz 05

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.38
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.13
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
N. Amiri未进大名单 (10球, 2助攻)
45%进球产出缺失 (仅54%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.3球)

Eintracht Frankfurt

最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Robin Koch未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

27%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

73%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Critical absence for Mainz: Only 55% of goal production is available without N. Amiri (10G/2A)
  • Positive form of Mainz 05: The team is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.3)
  • Mathematical prediction: The analysis shows a home win probability of 48% and 1.67 expected home goals
风险因素
  • Short recovery time for Mainz 05 with only 3 days rest since the last match
  • Eintracht Frankfurt concedes an average of 2.21 goals per away game
  • Key players not nominated for Eintracht Frankfurt: Robin Koch (3G/1A) and Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab (2G/1A)
概述

FSV Mainz 05 (14th place, 27 points) hosts Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 38 points) at the Mewa Arena. The Bundesliga clash takes place on March 22, 2026, 3:30 PM. Mainz is fighting for survival, while Frankfurt aims for European qualification spots

近期状态

Mainz 05 is in good shape with a form of DDDWW (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses) from their last five games across all competitions. The team has achieved two consecutive wins recently

Eintracht Frankfurt shows a form of WLWDW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and won their last match

An analysis of the advanced statistics indicates that FSV Mainz 05 is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.3 goals per game), representing a positive trend

Eintracht Frankfurt scores consistently with an average of 1.9 goals per game, and their form curve is stable

统计数据

FSV Mainz 05 averages 1.19 goals scored per game and concedes 1.58 goals

At home, the average is 1.15 goals scored and 1.23 goals conceded

Mainz kept 3 clean sheets, 2 of them at home

Both teams scored in 15 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 13 matches

Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.88 goals scored per game and also concedes 1.88 goals

Away, the average is 1.86 goals scored and 2.21 goals conceded

Frankfurt kept 7 clean sheets, 1 of them away

Both teams scored in 17 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 matches

The Mewa Arena has seen an average of 2.8 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

In 3 of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In the previous 5 head-to-head matches, there was 1 win for Mainz 05, 2 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt, and 2 draws

Mainz 05 scored a total of 5 goals, while Eintracht Frankfurt also scored 5 goals

The last encounter on November 09, 2025, ended 0:1 for the away team, signifying a victory for Mainz 05

The away team has been dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For FSV Mainz 05, Jae-sung Lee with 4 goals and 2 assists, Danny da Costa with 2 goals and 3 assists, and Paul Nebel with 2 goals and 1 assist are important attacking forces

For Eintracht Frankfurt, Jonathan Burkardt stands out with 9 goals, Farès Chaïbi with 8 assists, and Jean-Mattéo Bahoya with 3 goals and 3 assists

Jonathan Burkardt is in rising form with 2 goals in his last 5 games played

Jean-Mattéo Bahoya also shows a rising form with 2 assists in his last 5 games played

Sheraldo Becker (Mainz) and Farès Chaïbi (Frankfurt) show a declining form trend

门将

Daniel Batz is available as goalkeeper for FSV Mainz 05, achieving an average rating of 7.13 in 14 season appearances

Mainz 05 has completed 3 clean sheets this season

Eintracht Frankfurt's goalkeeper Michael Zetterer played in 14 season appearances and achieved an average rating of 6.82

Frankfurt has managed 7 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Mainz 05 scored 15 goals and conceded 16 goals at home

The Mewa Arena has seen an average of 2.8 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored

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