Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace - Fiorentina
04/09/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Crystal Palace
Fiorentina
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
28%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Crystal Palace with 45% probability and 1.58 expected home goals
- Fiorentina is in strong current form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
- Crystal Palace critically has only 52% of their usual goal production available
风险因素
- Limited data available for head-to-head matches
概述
Crystal Palace (10th place, 10 points) host Fiorentina (15th place, 9 points) at Selhurst Park
The Europa Conference League match takes place on April 9, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are close in the standings and are fighting for further progress in the competition
近期状态
Crystal Palace's form in the last five matches is LWDDW (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Their last result was a win
Fiorentina shows better form with WWWDW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses)
Fiorentina also won their last match
According to Advanced Stats, Crystal Palace is currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.4), indicating a positive trend
Fiorentina is also currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.5) and displays a positive form trend
统计数据
Crystal Palace averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per game
At home, these figures are 1.08 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded
Fiorentina averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Fiorentina concedes an average of 1.6 goals
Crystal Palace recorded 11 clean sheets in total, with 6 of those in home games
Fiorentina achieved 6 clean sheets, with 3 of them in away games
Selhurst Park has a history of an average of 1.6 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 1 out of 5 matches
历史交锋
The provided dataset does not list any historical head-to-head matches between these two teams
关键球员
For Crystal Palace, Ismaïla Sarr (5 season goals, 0 assists), Maxence Lacroix (2 season goals, 1 assist) and Jean-Philippe Mateta (1 season goal, 2 assists) are key players
Ismaïla Sarr scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.28
Maxence Lacroix maintained his rating at 7.13 in the last 5 games
Jean-Philippe Mateta played in 4 of the last 5 games with an average rating of 6.50
For Fiorentina, Albert Gudmundsson (4 season goals, 3 assists), Cher Ndour (3 season goals, 3 assists) and Roberto Piccoli (3 season goals, 1 assist) are noteworthy
Albert Gudmundsson scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists in the last 5 games
Cher Ndour recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Roberto Piccoli scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in 4 of the last 5 games with a rating of 7.30, showing a rising form trend
Not nominated: Moise Kean (1G/2A)
门将
For Crystal Palace, Dean Henderson played in 9 season appearances and recorded 11 clean sheets in total, 6 of which were in home games
His rating in the last 5 games is 6.93
For Fiorentina, David de Gea was in goal for 7 season appearances and recorded 6 clean sheets in total, 3 of which were in away games
His rating in the last 5 games is 6.78
影响因素
The home advantage at Selhurst Park is historically reflected in an average of 1.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 1 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 1 of 5 matches
Crystal Palace scored an average of 1.08 goals and conceded 1.38 goals in home games
Fiorentina conceded an average of 1.6 goals in away games