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Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen

03/21/2026, 02:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
VfL Wolfsburg
1.4
Total xG
3.1
Werder Bremen
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
VWWB

VfL Wolfsburg

防守不足 (场均失2.2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.41
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Lovro Majer替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Adam Daghim替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

Werder Bremen

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.07
Jens Stage未进大名单 (7球, 2助攻)
Keke Topp替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.1球)
+0.64
+0.64
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

27%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Werder Bremen with a 42% chance of winning
  • Form Trend: Werder Bremen shows a positive trend with currently 1.4 goals per game, compared to 1.2 goals season average
  • High-Scoring Arena: The Volkswagen Arena sees an average of 3.2 goals per game and 100% BTTS in the last 5 matches
风险因素
  • Wolfsburg concedes an average of 1.87 goals per home game
  • Bremen concedes an average of 1.85 goals per away game
  • Jens Stage (7G/2A) from Werder Bremen is absent due to a yellow card suspension
概述

VfL Wolfsburg (17th place, 21 points) host Werder Bremen (15th place, 25 points) at the Volkswagen Arena

Bundesliga match on March 21, 2026, 3:30 PM

The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Werder Bremen with 42% probability

近期状态

VfL Wolfsburg's recent form in their last five matches is DLLLD

This corresponds to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

The last result was an away draw against TSG Hoffenheim (1-1)

Werder Bremen's form in their last five matches is LLWWL

This corresponds to 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses

The last result was a home loss against FSV Mainz 05 (0-2)

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

VfL Wolfsburg has scored an average of 1.35 goals and conceded 2.15 goals per game this season

At home, they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.87 goals conceded per home game

Werder Bremen averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.81 goals conceded per match

Away from home, their average is 1.15 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per away game

Matches at the Volkswagen Arena have an average of 3.2 total goals

Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games

The mathematical analysis predicts over 2.5 goals with 59% probability

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, the record is even

Both teams won 2 games each, with 1 draw

VfL Wolfsburg and Werder Bremen scored 9 goals each in these encounters

The last direct match on November 7, 2025, was won by Werder Bremen away with 2-1

关键球员

VfL Wolfsburg attacker Mohamed Amoura has contributed 8 goals and 3 assists so far

Midfielder Christian Eriksen has recorded 2 goals and 6 assists

Defender Saël Kumbedi has provided 5 assists this season

Werder Bremen midfielder Romano Schmid shows rising form with 2 goals and 7 assists

Attacker Justin Njinmah has scored 4 goals

Marco Grüll has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist

Not nominated for VfL Wolfsburg are Lovro Majer (2G/3A) and Adam Daghim (2G/2A)

Not nominated for Werder Bremen are Jens Stage (7G/2A) and Keke Topp (1G/1A)

门将

Goalkeeper Kamil Grabara of VfL Wolfsburg has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Werder Bremen's goalkeeper Mio Backhaus has recorded 5 clean sheets

影响因素

VfL Wolfsburg has scored an average of 1.33 home goals and conceded 1.87 home goals

Werder Bremen has scored 1.15 away goals and conceded 1.85 away goals

The Volkswagen Arena is known for high-scoring games

An average of 3.2 goals per game were scored here, and both teams scored in 100% of the last 5 matches

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