Bundesliga
Hamburger SV - FC Augsburg
04/04/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.2
1.6
1:1
12%1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
26%
客胜
37%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
63%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- High goal probability: The mathematical analysis predicts a 62% chance for over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score
- Guests' defensive weakness: FC Augsburg concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game
- Contrasting form trends: Augsburg shows positive offensive form (1.6 goals/game), while HSV's goal production is stagnant (1.2 goals/game)
风险因素
- The very balanced win probability of 37% for both teams poses an increased risk of a draw (26%)
概述
Hamburger SV (12th place, 30 points) host FC Augsburg (10th place, 31 points) at the Volksparkstadion
Bundesliga match on April 4, 2026, 3:30 PM
Both teams are closely matched in the table, fighting for a better mid-table position
近期状态
Hamburger SV's current form is LLWDL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Their last results include a 2-3 away loss to Borussia Dortmund and a 1-1 home draw against FC Köln
FC Augsburg's form is WWLLL (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)
They have suffered three consecutive losses, including a 2-5 home loss against VfB Stuttgart and a 0-2 away loss against Borussia Dortmund
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Hamburger SV averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per home game
FC Augsburg averages 1.27 goals scored per away game, but concedes a high 2.36 goals
Venue statistics show an average of 3.0 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams so far
FC Augsburg won this single encounter
The last match took place on November 22, 2025, with FC Augsburg beating Hamburger SV 1-0
Overall, Hamburger SV has scored 0 goals, while FC Augsburg has scored 1 goal in direct duels
关键球员
For Hamburger SV, Luka Vuskovic stands out with 5 season goals and an average rating of 7.2, scoring 2 goals in his last 5 appearances
Fábio Vieira is a key midfielder with 5 season goals and 5 assists
William Mikelbrencis contributed 4 assists this season, with 3 of them coming in his last 5 games
For FC Augsburg, Alexis Claude-Maurice showed his strength with 4 goals and 5 assists this season, contributing 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 matches
Fabian Rieder has 4 season goals and 3 assists, including 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances
Anton Kade scored 3 season goals, with 1 of them in his last 4 appearances
门将
Hamburger SV's goalkeeper, Daniel Heuer Fernandes, has kept 6 clean sheets in 27 season appearances
For FC Augsburg, goalkeeper Finn Dahmen has kept 5 clean sheets in 27 season appearances
影响因素
The Volksparkstadion averages 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and 60% of matches had over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV has averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded at home
FC Augsburg concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away game