Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg
04/04/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
2.2
2.9
0.7
2:0
13%1:1
10%2:1
10%3:0
9%3:1
7%xG 分解
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
69%
平局
21%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
66%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
31%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 69% probability
- Leverkusen's home strength with an average of 1.86 goals meets Wolfsburg's away weakness with an average of 2.33 goals conceded
- Leverkusen dominated the last five head-to-head encounters with 4 wins and a goal difference of 11:5
风险因素
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen are winless in their last 5 matches (4 draws, 1 loss)
- Only 64% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available for Leverkusen, without Ernest Poku, Aleix García, Martin Terrier, and Jarell Quansah
- VfL Wolfsburg's goal production is currently stagnant with only 0.8 goals on average in the last 5 matches
概述
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th place, 46 points) host VfL Wolfsburg (17th place, 21 points) at the BayArena
Bundesliga match on April 4, 2026, 3:30 PM
Leverkusen are fighting for international spots, while Wolfsburg are in a relegation battle
The mathematical analysis predicts a clear favorite role for the home team with 69% win probability
近期状态
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's form across all competitions shows DDDLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last five matches
Leverkusen recorded 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's goal production is stagnant with an average of 1.6 goals, while the season average is 1.8
VfL Wolfsburg's form in the last five matches is LLLDL
Wolfsburg recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses
VfL Wolfsburg's goal production is also stagnant with an average of 0.8 goals, the season average is 1.3
统计数据
Bayer 04 Leverkusen scores an average of 1.93 goals per game and concedes 1.33 goals per game this season
At home, they average 1.86 goals scored and 0.86 goals conceded, with 6 clean sheets
VfL Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.30 goals and concedes 2.11 goals per game this season
Away, they average 1.25 goals scored and 2.33 goals conceded, with 1 clean sheet
At this venue, an average of 2.0 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Bayer 04 Leverkusen dominated with 4 wins, while VfL Wolfsburg could not secure a win and there was one draw
The goal difference is 11:5 in favor of Leverkusen
Leverkusen won the last encounter on November 22, 2025, with a score of 3:1
关键球员
For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Alejandro Grimaldo (6 goals, 7 assists, 7.36 average rating) and Edmond Tapsoba (4 goals, 2 assists, 7.15 average rating) are key players
Ibrahim Maza contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season
For VfL Wolfsburg, Mohamed Amoura is an offensive force with 8 season goals and 3 assists
Christian Eriksen shows a rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 matches
Konstantinos Koulierakis scored 1 goal in the last 5 matches and also shows a rising form
门将
Leverkusen's goalkeeper Mark Flekken has recorded 7 clean sheets this season
Wolfsburg's goalkeeper Kamil Grabara has recorded 1 clean sheet this season
影响因素
The BayArena has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are strong at home, scoring an average of 1.86 goals and conceding only 0.86 goals in home games
Wolfsburg concede an average of 2.33 goals per away game