Bundesliga
Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig
04/04/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.7
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
9%2:1
6%1:3
5%xG 分解
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
28%
客胜
49%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
51%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 49% win probability for RB Leipzig
- RB Leipzig is in 4th place in the league and shows a significantly stronger season performance with 53 goals scored compared to Werder Bremen's 30 goals
- RB Leipzig averaged 5.8 shots on target in their last 5 games and is considered offensively strong
风险因素
- According to Advanced Stats, Werder Bremen shows a positive form trend, currently scoring more goals (1.6) and conceding fewer (1.0) than their season average (1.2 goals scored, 1.81 goals conceded)
- The mathematical analysis indicates a relatively high draw probability of 28%
概述
Werder Bremen (14th place, 28 points) host RB Leipzig (4th place, 50 points) at the Wohninvest Weserstadion
Bundesliga match on April 4, 2026, 3:30 PM
RB Leipzig is fighting for Champions League spots, while Werder Bremen is in the middle of the table
近期状态
Werder Bremen's form in the last 5 games is LWWLW
This includes 3 wins and 2 losses
Werder Bremen won their last game away 1-0 against VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig's form in the last 5 games is DWWLW
This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
RB Leipzig won their last game at home 5-0 against TSG Hoffenheim
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.11 goals per game and concedes 1.74 goals per game this season
At home, they score 1.08 goals and concede 1.77 goals per home game
RB Leipzig scores an average of 1.96 goals per game and concedes 1.30 goals per game this season
Away from home, RB Leipzig scores 1.90 goals and concedes 1.70 goals per away game
The Wohninvest Weserstadion has seen an average of 2.2 total goals in the last 5 games
In these games, both teams scored in 1 out of 5 cases and there were over 2.5 goals in 1 out of 5 cases
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins for RB Leipzig and 3 draws
Werder Bremen could not win any of the last 5 encounters
RB Leipzig scored a total of 8 goals, Werder Bremen 4 goals
The last encounter was won by RB Leipzig away 2-0 on November 23, 2025
关键球员
For Werder Bremen, Romano Schmid (2 goals, 7 assists, Avg. 7.02 rating), Justin Njinmah (5 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.73 rating) and Marco Grüll (3 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.84 rating) are important attacking players
Romano Schmid has scored 0 goals and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games and shows a declining form trend
Justin Njinmah has scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows a stable form trend
Marco Grüll has scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows a declining form trend
For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner (12 goals, 7 assists, Avg. 7.15 rating), Yan Diomande (10 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.33 rating) and Rômulo (7 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 7.01 rating) are decisive players
Christoph Baumgartner scored 2 goals in the last 5 games and has a declining form trend
Yan Diomande contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games and shows a stable form trend
Rômulo scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in the last 5 games and has a stable form trend
门将
Mio Backhaus is the goalkeeper for Werder Bremen with a season average rating of 6.92
Werder Bremen kept 6 clean sheets this season
Maarten Vandevoordt is the goalkeeper for RB Leipzig with a season average rating of 6.83
RB Leipzig kept 10 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.08 goals per home game and concedes 1.77 goals
The Wohninvest Weserstadion is not a particularly high-scoring venue, with an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches
In these games, both teams rarely scored (1 out of 5 cases) or saw over 2.5 goals (1 out of 5 cases)