Bundesliga
SC Freiburg - FC Bayern München
04/04/2026, 01:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.7
2.0
1:2
8%2:2
7%2:1
7%1:3
6%2:3
5%xG 分解
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
23%
客胜
44%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
10%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
56%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
72%
否
28%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win probability of 44% for FC Bayern München
- FC Bayern München are league leaders with an outstanding season performance of 97 goals scored and only 25 goals conceded
- FC Bayern München are in strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches
风险因素
- FC Bayern München will be without top scorer H. Kane (31 goals, 5 assists) and the suspended N. Jackson (4 goals)
- SC Freiburg shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.94 goals conceded per home game
- The probability of both teams scoring is 72% according to mathematical analysis
概述
SC Freiburg (8th place, 37 points) host league leaders FC Bayern München (1st place, 70 points) at the Europa-Park Stadion. The Bundesliga match takes place on April 4, 2026, 3:30 PM. The league leaders from Munich are clear favorites
近期状态
SC Freiburg's current form across all competitions is DLLWW. They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches and have won their last two games. FC Bayern München are in excellent form with WWDWW. They have achieved 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in their last 5 matches and have also won their last two games. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
SC Freiburg scored an average of 1.44 goals per game this season and conceded 1.63 goals. At home, they are defensively stronger with only 0.94 goals conceded per home game. FC Bayern München boasts the strongest offense with an average of 3.59 goals per game and concedes only 0.93 goals. Away from home, they even score 3.73 goals per game and concede 1.09 goals. At the Europa-Park Stadion, an average of 3.4 goals were scored in the last 5 games, and both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Bayern München dominated. They won 4 games, with 1 draw, and SC Freiburg could not record a single victory. The goal difference is 15:5 in favor of Bayern. The last encounter on November 22, 2025, ended in a 6:2 away win for FC Bayern München
关键球员
For SC Freiburg, Yuito Suzuki (4 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 6.75) and Matthias Ginter (2 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 6.94) are key players, both with rising form. Maximilian Eggestein (2 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.94) is also a central figure. For FC Bayern München, Luis Díaz (15 goals, 11 assists, Avg. 7.59), Serge Gnabry (8 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.21) and Joshua Kimmich (2 goals, 6 assists, Avg. 7.64) stand out. Serge Gnabry and Lennart Karl show a rising form trend
门将
Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg recorded 5 clean sheets this season. Manuel Neuer of FC Bayern München kept 10 clean sheets
影响因素
The Europa-Park Stadion has seen an average of 3.4 total goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games. SC Freiburg shows a good offensive (1.41 goals) and defensive (0.94 goals conceded) performance at home