Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt - FC Köln
04/05/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Köln
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
31%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Prediction Advantage: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 42% for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.30 expected home goals
- Home Offense vs. Away Defense: Frankfurt's strong home offense (avg. 1.92 goals) meets Köln's vulnerable away defense (avg. 2.56 goals conceded)
- Form Comparison: Eintracht Frankfurt has achieved 2 wins and 1 draw in their last five games, while FC Köln remained winless (3 draws, 2 losses)
风险因素
- Eintracht Frankfurt are missing key players Farès Chaïbi (2G/8A), Jean-Mattéo Bahoya (3G/4A), and Nnamdi Collins (1G/2A), impacting assists (only 68% of usual assist share available)
- FC Köln concedes an average of 2.56 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
概述
Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 38 points) hosts FC Köln (15th place, 26 points) at Deutsche Bank Park. The Bundesliga match takes place on April 5, 2026, 5:30 PM. Frankfurt is pushing for European spots, while Köln is battling against relegation.
近期状态
Eintracht Frankfurt's form is LWDWL in the last five games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their goal production has recently stalled (1.5 goals per game), while the season average is 1.8 goals. FC Köln shows a form of DLLDD with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their goal output is consistent at an average of 1.4 goals per game.
统计数据
Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.92 goals scored per home game and concedes 1.5 goals. FC Köln averages 1.44 goals scored per away game but concedes a high 2.56 goals. At Deutsche Bank Park, an average of 2.4 goals per game are scored. Both teams scored in 20% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of the matches.
历史交锋
In the last three head-to-head matches, Eintracht Frankfurt and FC Köln each secured one win, with one match ending in a draw. Frankfurt scored 5 goals in these encounters, while Köln scored 6. The last meeting on November 22, 2025, ended in a 4-3 victory for Eintracht Frankfurt.
关键球员
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Arnaud Kalimuendo stands out with 2 goals in the last five games and shows stable form. Jonathan Burkardt scored 1 goal in the last five matches but has a declining form. Nathaniel Brown contributed 1 goal in his last four games and is in stable form. For FC Köln, Said El Mala is crucial with 3 goals and 1 assist in the last five games. Jakub Kamiński showed rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last five games. Ragnar Ache scored 2 goals in the last five matches and is in stable form.
门将
Eintracht Frankfurt's goalkeeper, Michael Zetterer, has kept seven clean sheets in 15 season appearances and is in rising form with an average rating of 7.05 in his last five games. Marvin Schwäbe of FC Köln has kept three clean sheets in 27 season appearances and is in declining form, with an average rating of 6.59 in his last five games.
影响因素
Eintracht Frankfurt benefits from a home advantage, as they score significantly more goals at home (avg. 1.92) and concede fewer (avg. 1.5) than their opponent away. At Deutsche Bank Park, an average of 2.4 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in only 20% of the matches.