Bundesliga
FC Augsburg - TSG Hoffenheim
04/10/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.8
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
FC Augsburg
TSG Hoffenheim
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
28%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Hoffenheim's Favoritism: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 41% probability
- Hoffenheim's Offensive Strength: Hoffenheim averages 1.96 goals per game this season, compared to Augsburg's 1.21 goals
- Tactical Matchup: Hoffenheim plays a possession-dominant style (60% possession) with an average of 6.2 shots on target, while Augsburg is counter-oriented (42% possession)
风险因素
- Hoffenheim's Away Defensive Vulnerability: They concede an average of 1.85 goals per away game
- FC Augsburg's Weak Defense: Augsburg concedes an average of 1.82 goals per game this season
- High Probability for Both Teams to Score: The pipeline predicts that both teams will score with 58% probability
概述
FC Augsburg (11th place, 32 points) host TSG Hoffenheim (5th place, 50 points) at the WWK Arena
Bundesliga match on April 10, 2026, 8:30 PM
Hoffenheim is vying for a European spot, while Augsburg aims to solidify its mid-table position
近期状态
FC Augsburg's form in the last 5 games is WLLLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Their last match was a 1:1 away draw against Hamburger SV
TSG Hoffenheim's form in the last 5 games is LWDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
They lost their last match 1:2 at home against FSV Mainz 05
Both teams are in struggling form
统计数据
FC Augsburg averages 1.21 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded per game
Home: 1.19 goals scored, 1.5 goals conceded
TSG Hoffenheim: 1.96 goals scored, 1.46 goals conceded
Away: 2.0 goals scored, 1.85 goals conceded
WWK Arena: Average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games (60%), and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games (60%)
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters, there were 3 draws and 2 wins for TSG Hoffenheim
FC Augsburg has not won any of these head-to-head matches
Hoffenheim won the last match 3:0 away on November 29, 2025
Hoffenheim scored 8 goals, Augsburg 3 goals, highlighting the dominance
关键球员
For FC Augsburg, Alexis Claude-Maurice (4 goals, 5 assists, declining form), Fabian Rieder (4 goals, 3 assists, stable form), and Anton Kade (3 goals, stable form) are important
For TSG Hoffenheim, Andrej Kramaric (10 goals, 5 assists, declining form), Fisnik Asllani (9 goals, 6 assists, stable form), and Bazoumana Touré (2 goals, 8 assists, stable form) stand out
门将
Finn Dahmen (FC Augsburg) kept 5 clean sheets in 28 season appearances
His recent form is declining, with an average rating of 6.36 in the last 5 games
Oliver Baumann (TSG Hoffenheim) recorded 6 clean sheets in 28 matches
Baumann's form is also declining, with an average rating of 6.18 in the last 5 games
影响因素
FC Augsburg's home record shows an average of 1.19 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game
TSG Hoffenheim's away record is stronger offensively with 2.0 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per game
WWK Arena: The last 5 games averaged 3.4 goals per match
In 3 of 5 games, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games