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FA Cup

West Ham United - Leeds United

04/05/2026, 03:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
West Ham United
2.4
Total xG
4.6
Leeds United
2.2
最可能的比分

2:2

7%

2:1

6%

1:2

6%

3:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
WHULU

West Ham United

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.37倍)
+1.37
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.32
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Tomáš Souček替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
Aaron Wan-Bissaka未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)

Leeds United

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
+1.40
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.43
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.26
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.14
Dominic Calvert-Lewin替补席 (10球, 1助攻)
Brenden Aaronson替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

21%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

95%

Under 1.5

5%

Over 2.5

83%

Under 2.5

17%

Over 3.5

67%

Under 3.5

33%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

79%

双方进球

81%

19%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability for both teams to score (81% BTTS) and over 2.5 goals (83%)
  • Both teams show fluctuating form recently with only 1 win in their last 5 matches
  • Leeds United's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.15 goals per away game
风险因素
  • West Ham United averaged only 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Leeds United concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away game
概述

West Ham United hosts Leeds United in the FA Cup on April 5, 2026, 5:30 PM at the London Stadium

近期状态

West Ham United's form across all competitions is LWDDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Their last match resulted in a loss

Leeds United's form across all competitions is LLWDD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Their last match resulted in a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

West Ham United scores an average of 1.16 goals per game and concedes 1.84 goals

At home, they score 1.12 goals and concede 1.75 goals per game

Leeds United scores an average of 1.19 goals per game and concedes 1.55 goals

Away from home, they score 1.15 goals and concede 2.15 goals per game

The London Stadium sees an average of 2.4 goals per game

In 4 out of 5 matches at the London Stadium, both teams scored (BTTS)

In 2 out of 5 matches at the London Stadium, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

There has been only 1 head-to-head match between these teams

Leeds United won this last encounter on October 24, 2025, with a score of 2:1

The goal difference in direct matches is 2:1 in favour of Leeds United

Leeds United is the recently dominant team in head-to-head encounters

关键球员

For West Ham United, Jarrod Bowen is crucial with 8 goals and 6 assists this season, his last 5 games show 2 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.05

Mateus Fernandes (3 goals, 3 assists) has an average season rating of 7.04

Taty Castellanos scored 2 goals this season, with 1 goal in the last 5 games

For Leeds United, Anton Stach is an important midfielder with 4 goals and 3 assists and a season rating of 7.25

Lukas Nmecha contributed 6 goals and 1 assist this season

Ethan Ampadu has a season rating of 6.99 with 1 goal and 1 assist

门将

West Ham United's Alphonse Areola has made 20 appearances this season and recorded 4 clean sheets

Leeds United's Lucas Perri has made 16 appearances this season and recorded 6 clean sheets

影响因素

The London Stadium features a grass surface

West Ham United scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 1.75 goals per game

Leeds United scores an average of 1.15 goals away and concedes 2.15 goals per game

The average total goals at the London Stadium is 2.4 per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 of the last matches at the London Stadium

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