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Bundesliga

FC Köln - Werder Bremen

04/12/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
FC Köln
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Werder Bremen
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

10%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
FKWB

FC Köln

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.85
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
全员可用

Werder Bremen

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.35
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.29
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.14
Jens Stage未进大名单 (7球, 2助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

31%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Werder Bremen shows better current form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, in contrast to Köln's 0 wins
  • The historical record favors Werder Bremen, having won 2 out of 3 head-to-head matches and being considered recently dominant
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a slightly higher 37% probability for an away win
风险因素
  • FC Köln's current form with 0 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games is poor
  • The mathematical analysis shows a considerable 31% probability for a draw
  • The data situation is limited as total duels data for the last 5 games of the teams is unavailable
概述

FC Köln (15th place, 27 points) host Werder Bremen (14th place, 28 points) at RheinEnergieStadion

Bundesliga match on April 12, 2026, 3:30 PM

Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the lower half of the table against relegation

近期状态

FC Köln's form across all competitions is LLDDD (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)

The team has played three consecutive draws recently

Werder Bremen's form across all competitions is WWLWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)

Their last result was a loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Köln scores an average of 1.43 goals per game and concedes 1.75 goals

In home matches, the average is 1.39 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded

Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.11 goals per game and also concedes 1.75 goals

Away from home, Bremen scores 1.14 goals and concedes 1.71 goals

At RheinEnergieStadion, an average of 3.4 goals are scored per game

In 80% of matches at this stadium, both teams score and over 2.5 goals are tallied

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, FC Köln has 0 wins, 1 draw, and Werder Bremen has 2 wins

The goal difference is 2:4 in favor of Werder Bremen

The last encounter on November 29, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

The recent record shows dominance by Werder Bremen

关键球员

For FC Köln, Said El Mala (10 goals, 4 assists) and Jakub Kamiński (7 goals, 3 assists) are key attacking players

Kamiński shows a rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Ragnar Ache contributed 6 goals and 4 assists

For Werder Bremen, Romano Schmid is an important creator with 2 goals and 7 assists, but shows a declining form

Justin Njinmah (5 goals) and Marco Grüll (3 goals, 1 assist) are other attacking players

Not nominated: Jens Stage (7 goals, 2 assists)

门将

Marvin Schwäbe is the goalkeeper for FC Köln and recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Mio Backhaus is the goalkeeper for Werder Bremen and achieved 6 clean sheets

影响因素

RheinEnergieStadion is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 3.4 goals per game

In 80% of matches at the stadium, both teams score and over 2.5 goals are tallied

FC Köln scores an average of 1.39 goals at home and concedes 1.33 goals

Werder Bremen scores 1.14 goals away and concedes 1.71 goals

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