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Bundesliga

RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach

04/11/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
RB Leipzig
2.2
Total xG
3.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
RLBM

RB Leipzig

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+0.44
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第13位, 相差10位)
+0.10
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.05
Brajan Gruda替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均2.5球 vs 总体2球)

Borussia Mönchengladbach

排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第3位, 相差10位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
Wael Mohya替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Kevin Stöger替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.71
+0.71
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

23%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

77%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 57% for RB Leipzig and an average of 2.17 expected home goals
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per away game
  • RB Leipzig is in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
概述

RB Leipzig (3rd place, 53 points) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (13th place, 30 points) at the Red Bull Arena

Bundesliga match on April 11, 2026, 3:30 PM

The hosts are aiming for Champions League qualification, while the guests are in the mid-table

近期状态

RB Leipzig shows a strong trend with form WWLWW, achieving 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches

Leipzig recently won 2-1 away against Werder Bremen and 5-0 at home against TSG Hoffenheim

Borussia Mönchengladbach's form WLWDD indicates a mixed phase, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games

Gladbach recently drew 2-2 at home against Heidenheim and 3-3 away against FC Köln

统计数据

RB Leipzig averages 1.96 goals scored per game and concedes 1.29 goals per game

At home, Leipzig is particularly strong with an average of 2.0 home goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per home game

They have recorded 10 clean sheets this season, 5 of which were in home matches

Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 1.71 goals per game

Away from home, their average is 1.21 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded per away game

Gladbach has a total of 10 clean sheets, with 4 in away matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 games for RB Leipzig and 16 games for Borussia Mönchengladbach

At the Red Bull Arena, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig scored 3 goals, while Borussia Mönchengladbach managed 1 goal

RB Leipzig secured 2 wins in direct encounters, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw

The last encounter on November 28, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw

The recent record favors the home team, RB Leipzig

关键球员

Christoph Baumgartner of RB Leipzig is a key player with 12 season goals and 7 assists, showing stable form in the last 5 games

Yan Diomande contributed 10 goals and 6 assists this season, scoring 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances

Rômulo has scored 8 season goals and 5 assists, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic is an important attacker with 11 season goals and 2 assists, though his form has been declining recently

Franck Honorat has 2 goals and 6 assists this season, including 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with stable form

Jens Castrop shows rising form, recording 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games, with a total of 3 season goals and 2 assists

Not nominated for RB Leipzig: Brajan Gruda (3G/2A)

Not nominated for Borussia Mönchengladbach: Wael Mohya (2G/0A), Kevin Stöger (1G/1A)

门将

Maarten Vandevoordt of RB Leipzig has 7 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.85

Leipzig has recorded 10 clean sheets this season, with 5 in home matches

Moritz Nicolas is the goalkeeper for Borussia Mönchengladbach with 28 season appearances and an average rating of 7.01

Gladbach kept a clean sheet in 10 games this season, 4 of which were in away matches

影响因素

The Red Bull Arena has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches

RB Leipzig's home advantage is reflected in an average of 2.0 goals scored at home and only 1.06 goals conceded at home

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