Bundesliga
FC Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart
04/19/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
2.6
4.2
1.6
2:1
8%3:1
7%2:2
6%3:2
6%1:2
5%xG 分解
FC Bayern München
VfB Stuttgart
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
60%
平局
20%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
93%
Under 1.5
7%
Over 2.5
79%
Under 2.5
21%
Over 3.5
60%
Under 3.5
40%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
40%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
74%
否
26%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for FC Bayern München with 60%
- FC Bayern München shows excellent form with 5 consecutive wins
- FC Bayern München's offensive home strength is predicted with an average of 2.62 expected goals
风险因素
- Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry, Konrad Laimer, Jonathan Tah, Dayot Upamecano are missing, only 63% of goal threat is available
- VfB Stuttgart has a strong away offense with an average of 2.12 goals per game
- FC Bayern München's home defense recently conceded an average of 1.2 goals, which is slightly above the season average of 1.0
- The venue has a history of very high goal averages of 5.2 goals per game, which can lead to an unpredictable match outcome
概述
FC Bayern München (1st place, 76 points) host VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 56 points) at the Allianz Arena
Bundesliga match on April 19, 2026, 5:30 PM
The league leader meets a top team in the league, both teams aiming to consolidate their positions
近期状态
FC Bayern München shows excellent form with 5 consecutive wins (WWWWW)
Their last 5 games all ended in a victory for Bayern
VfB Stuttgart has a form of 3 wins and 2 losses (WLWLW)
Their last game was a win
The form trends for both teams are stable according to the analysis
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
FC Bayern München scored an average of 3.62 goals per game and conceded 0.93 goals this season
In home games, Bayern are very offensively strong with an average of 3.73 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded
VfB Stuttgart averages 2.07 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Stuttgart averages 2.12 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 18 of Bayern's 29 games and 16 of Stuttgart's 29 games
At the venue, the last 5 games saw an average of 5.2 goals per match
In 80% of games at the venue, both teams scored, and 100% of games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Bayern München dominated
Bayern won 4 games, VfB Stuttgart won 1 game
The goal difference in these matches is 16:4 in favor of Bayern
The last encounter was won by Bayern on December 6, 2025, with a 5:0 score
The historical record suggests home win dominance
关键球员
For FC Bayern München, Luis Díaz with 15 goals and 11 assists and an average season rating of 7.54, Joshua Kimmich with 2 goals and 6 assists at 7.64, and Nicolas Jackson with 5 goals and 1 assist at 6.81 are important players
For VfB Stuttgart, Chris Führich with 5 goals and 6 assists at 7.07, Angelo Stiller with 2 goals and 6 assists at 7.21, and Tiago Tomás with 4 goals and 3 assists at 6.84 are key players
Not nominated for VfB Stuttgart's starting eleven are Deniz Undav (18G/6A), Ermedin Demirovic (9G/3A), and Maximilian Mittelstädt (5G/4A)
门将
Jonas Urbig is the goalkeeper for FC Bayern München with 9 season appearances
Alexander Nübel is the goalkeeper for VfB Stuttgart with 29 season appearances
Both teams have achieved 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Allianz Arena, home of FC Bayern München, is known for many goals
An average of 5.2 goals per match were scored in the last 5 games
80% of games at the venue saw both teams score, and 100% of games ended with over 2.5 goals
Bayern scores an average of 3.73 goals at home and concedes 0.87 goals
The venue has a strong influence on both teams' shooting and scoring opportunities