Bundesliga
St. Pauli - FC Köln
04/17/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
St. Pauli
FC Köln
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
28%
客胜
44%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
56%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Form Contrast: Köln with a positive trend and increased goal production (avg 2.0 goals), St. Pauli with a negative trend and struggling attack (avg 0.5 goals)
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a 44% win probability for FC Köln
- Offensive Strength: FC Köln averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches, compared to St. Pauli's 2.6
风险因素
- Home Offensive Weakness: St. Pauli averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Away Defensive Weakness: FC Köln concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
概述
St. Pauli (16th place, 25 points) host FC Köln (13th place, 30 points) at the Millerntor-Stadion
Bundesliga match on April 17, 2026, 8:30 PM
This encounter is significant for both teams in the relegation battle
近期状态
St. Pauli's form across all competitions is DLLDL
This indicates 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
St. Pauli's form trend is negative
St. Pauli's goal production is currently low, averaging 0.5 goals, compared to their season average of 1.0 goals
FC Köln showed LDDDW across all competitions
This equates to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
FC Köln has a positive form trend
FC Köln is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.5 goals
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
St. Pauli averages 0.86 goals per game this season and concedes an average of 1.72 goals
At home, the average is 0.88 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded
St. Pauli has kept 5 clean sheets this season, with 2 of them in home games
FC Köln has scored an average of 1.48 goals this season and conceded an average of 1.72 goals
Away from home, Köln scores 1.5 goals per game but concedes an average of 2.5 goals
FC Köln recorded 3 clean sheets, 2 of which were in away games
The Millerntor-Stadion has seen an average of 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches
In 3 of 5 home games, both teams scored, and 4 of 5 ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between St. Pauli and FC Köln
The head-to-head record is balanced with 0 wins for St. Pauli, 0 wins for FC Köln, and 1 draw
The goal difference is 1:1
The last match ended in a 1:1 draw on December 06, 2025
关键球员
For St. Pauli, Danel Sinani (5 season goals, 3 assists) and Mathias Pereira Lage (2 season goals, 2 assists) are key attacking players
Danel Sinani shows stable form with a rating of 7.09 in the last 5 matches
Mathias Pereira Lage also has stable form with a rating of 6.71 in the last 5 matches
Andréas Hountondji contributes 4 season goals and his form is stable with a rating of 6.40 in the last 5 matches
For FC Köln, Said El Mala (11 season goals, 4 assists) and Ragnar Ache (7 season goals, 4 assists) stand out
Said El Mala shows stable form with a rating of 6.74 in the last 5 matches
Ragnar Ache also has stable form with a rating of 7.00 in the last 5 matches
Jakub Kamiński (7 season goals, 3 assists) shows a rising form development with a rating of 7.44 in the last 5 matches
门将
Nikola Vasilj, St. Pauli's goalkeeper, recorded 5 clean sheets this season
Marvin Schwäbe of FC Köln kept 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
St. Pauli's home advantage is statistically recorded with an average of 0.88 home goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded
FC Köln scores 1.5 goals away but concedes an average of 2.5 goals
The Millerntor-Stadion has seen an average of 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches
In this stadium, both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games