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Bundesliga

Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV

04/18/2026, 01:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Werder Bremen
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Hamburger SV
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
WBHS

Werder Bremen

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.08
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
+0.02
Marco Grüll替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

Hamburger SV

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.60
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.35
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.02
Luka Vuskovic未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Albert Sambi Lokonga未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Philip Otele替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

27%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

73%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Werder Bremen with a 52% probability
  • Werder Bremen recently showed a positive scoring trend (1.4 goals currently vs. 1.1 season average)
  • Hamburger SV is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game
风险因素
  • Hamburger SV won the only direct encounter with a score of 3:2
  • Werder Bremen has suffered two consecutive losses recently
概述

Werder Bremen (15th place, 28 points) hosts Hamburger SV (13th place, 31 points) at the Wohninvest Weserstadion

The Bundesliga match takes place on April 18, 2026, 3:30 PM

Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the lower half of the table

近期状态

Werder Bremen's form in the last five games is WLWLL

This includes 2 wins and 3 losses

Hamburger SV has shown a form of WDLDL in their last five matches

This comprises 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Werder Bremen lost their last away game against FC Köln by 1:3

Hamburger SV suffered a 0:4 away defeat against VfB Stuttgart in their last match

统计数据

Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.1 goals per game this season and concedes 1.79 goals

Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.1 goals per match and concedes 1.55 goals

Werder Bremen kept 6 clean sheets, as did Hamburger SV with 6 clean sheets

In 16 games involving Werder Bremen, over 2.5 goals were scored, compared to 15 games for Hamburger SV

Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.07 goals at home and concedes 1.79 goals

Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.1 goals away and concedes 2.7 goals

The Wohninvest Weserstadion sees an average of 2.4 goals per game

In 2 out of 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

There has been only 1 head-to-head match between Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV so far

Hamburger SV won this encounter with a score of 3:2

The last meeting took place on December 7, 2025, where Hamburger SV emerged victorious

The goal difference from this match is 2 goals for Werder Bremen and 3 goals for Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV has shown dominance in the direct confrontations

关键球员

For Werder Bremen, Jens Stage is a key player with 7 goals and 2 assists, holding an average rating of 7.10

Romano Schmid contributed 3 goals and 7 assists with an average rating of 7.02

Justin Njinmah proved to be an important offensive player with 5 goals and no assists, at an average rating of 6.74

For Hamburger SV, Fábio Vieira is a key player with 5 goals and 5 assists, and an average rating of 7.09

Ransford Königsdörffer scored 5 goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 6.72

Nicolás Capaldo contributed 1 goal and 1 assist with an average rating of 6.82

Not in lineup: Marco Grüll (3G/1A)

Not in lineup: Luka Vuskovic (5G/0A), Albert Sambi Lokonga (5G/0A), Philip Otele (1G/1A)

门将

Werder Bremen's goalkeeper, Mio Backhaus, played 27 games and was involved in 6 clean sheets for his team

Hamburger SV's goalkeeper, Daniel Heuer Fernandes, played 29 games and contributed to 6 clean sheets for his team

影响因素

The match takes place at the Wohninvest Weserstadion on grass

Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.07 goals at home and concedes 1.79 goals

Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.1 goals away and concedes 2.7 goals

The home stadium has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game

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