🇩🇪

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - Heidenheim

04/19/2026, 01:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
SC Freiburg
2.1
Total xG
3.0
Heidenheim
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
SFHEI

SC Freiburg

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.39
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.33
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.16
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第18位, 相差10位)
+0.10
Yuito Suzuki替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Niklas Beste替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Philipp Treu替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Heidenheim

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.65
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.27
状态上升 (2 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.27
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第8位, 相差10位)
-0.10
Eren Dinkçi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Budu Zivzivadze替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
Luca Kerber替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

23%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

77%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • SC Freiburg is the clear favorite according to mathematical analysis, with a win probability of 63%
  • SC Freiburg's current form is strong, with 4 wins in their last 5 games and 3 consecutive victories
  • Heidenheim's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game, suggesting an offensive match
风险因素
  • SC Freiburg has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Heidenheim's defense is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game
概述

SC Freiburg (8th place, 40 points) host Heidenheim (18th place, 19 points) at the Europa-Park Stadion. The Bundesliga match takes place on April 19, 2026, 3:30 PM. Freiburg are pushing for European spots, while Heidenheim are in a relegation battle

近期状态

SC Freiburg are in strong form: WLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team has won 4 of their last 5 matches and boasts a winning streak of 3 consecutive victories. Heidenheim's form is mixed with LLDDW. In their last 5 games, they have 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Heidenheim recently won one game

统计数据

SC Freiburg averages 1.45 goals scored per game and concedes 1.62 goals. At home, the average is 1.44 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded. They have recorded 6 clean sheets this season. In 17 matches, both teams scored, and 18 matches ended with over 2.5 goals. Heidenheim averages 1.1 goals scored and concedes 2.21 goals per game. Away from home, their defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding 2.9 goals per game. Heidenheim has not achieved a clean sheet this season. In 18 matches, both teams scored, and 20 matches ended with over 2.5 goals. At the Europa-Park Stadion, an average of 4.2 goals per game have been scored, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals being scored in 4 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In the 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, the balance is even. SC Freiburg and Heidenheim each won 2 games, while 1 match ended in a draw. Heidenheim won the last encounter on December 6, 2025, with a score of 2:1. Across all direct confrontations, SC Freiburg scored 6 goals and Heidenheim scored 8 goals

关键球员

For SC Freiburg, Igor Matanovic (8 goals, 1 assist) and Vincenzo Grifo (7 goals, 1 assist) are key offensive players. Matthias Ginter contributes to defense and build-up play with 2 goals and 4 assists. For Heidenheim, Marvin Pieringer stands out with 4 goals and 1 assist. Arijon Ibrahimovic has contributed 1 goal and 4 assists. Patrick Mainka is an important player with 2 goals and 2 assists

门将

SC Freiburg's goalkeeper, Noah Atubolu, played in 29 season matches and recorded 6 clean sheets. For Heidenheim, Diant Ramaj played in 28 matches. He has not achieved a clean sheet this season

影响因素

SC Freiburg has a home advantage at the Europa-Park Stadion. The team averages 1.44 home goals scored and 1.06 home goals conceded. In the last 5 games at the Europa-Park Stadion, an average of 4.2 goals per match were scored, with both teams scoring in 3 games and over 2.5 goals being scored in 4 games. The pitch surface is grass

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。