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Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig

04/18/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.2
Total xG
2.7
RB Leipzig
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
EFRL

Eintracht Frankfurt

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.81
防守实力 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.39
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.19
Ritsu Doan替补席 (4球, 5助攻)
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya未进大名单 (3球, 4助攻)
Nnamdi Collins未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

RB Leipzig

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.16
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
-0.02
David Raum替补席 (3球, 6助攻)
Xaver Schlager未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.6球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

29%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Leipzig's offensive strength (averaging 6.8 shots on target) and consistent goal production (2.0 goals per game) contrasts with Frankfurt's recently stagnating goal output (1.5 goals recently vs. 1.8 season average)
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for RB Leipzig with 43% probability and more expected goals (1.50 vs. 1.19) for the visitors
  • RB Leipzig has a strong recent head-to-head record against Eintracht Frankfurt, including a dominant 6:0 victory in their last encounter
风险因素
  • RB Leipzig is missing key players like Xaver Schlager (Yellow Card Suspension), reducing the starting eleven's strength to 90% of its usual goal threat
  • Eintracht Frankfurt's goal production has recently decreased to an average of 1.5 goals per game, while the season average is 1.8 goals
概述

Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 42 points) host RB Leipzig (4th place, 56 points) at Deutsche Bank Park

Bundesliga match on April 18, 2026, 6:30 PM

Leipzig is fighting for a Champions League spot, while Frankfurt aims for European qualification

近期状态

Eintracht Frankfurt shows mixed form with W-D-L-D-W (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last five matches

Their last result was a win

RB Leipzig is in good form with W-L-W-W-W (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) in their last five games

Leipzig has won their last three consecutive matches

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Eintracht Frankfurt scores an average of 1.86 goals per game and concedes 1.86 goals per game this season

RB Leipzig has an average scoring rate of 1.93 goals per game and concedes 1.24 goals per game

Frankfurt kept 7 clean sheets, Leipzig 11 clean sheets

In home games, Frankfurt averages 1.92 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded

Leipzig scores 1.91 goals per game away and concedes 1.64 goals per game

At Deutsche Bank Park, an average of 2.8 total goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eintracht Frankfurt secured 1 win, RB Leipzig 3 wins, and there was 1 draw

The goal difference is 7:13 in favor of RB Leipzig

The last encounter on December 6, 2025, ended with a 0:6 away win for RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig has been dominant in recent meetings

关键球员

Eintracht Frankfurt can rely on forward Arnaud Kalimuendo, who scored 3 goals in his last 5 games and shows stable form

Jonathan Burkardt, also in attack, scored 1 goal in 5 games, but his form is declining

Midfielder Farès Chaïbi shows a rising form with 1 assist in 4 games

For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner in midfield is in stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 4 matches

Forward Yan Diomande is also stable with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games

Rômulo in attack scored 1 goal in 5 games, but his form is declining

门将

Eintracht Frankfurt's goalkeeper, Michael Zetterer, conceded 0 goals in 17 season appearances and shows a rising form

Frankfurt recorded a total of 7 clean sheets

Maarten Vandevoordt, RB Leipzig's goalkeeper, conceded 0 goals in 8 season appearances and is in stable form

Leipzig achieved 11 clean sheets this season

影响因素

At Deutsche Bank Park, an average of 2.8 total goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%

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